Sydney vs Perth Glory
Sydney
#4 · A-League
DWDLL
0 - 0
Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney
Referee: Eric Saba, Australia
Perth Glory
#10 · A-League
DDDLD
★ OUR PICK
Sydney to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Perth Glory make Sydney the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Sydney to Win. Our model calculates a 59.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sydney will face Perth Glory in the A-League at Sydney Football Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sydney has a 59.2% probability of winning this match. Perth Glory has a 21.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Sydney have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Sydney59.2%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.6%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.57
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.59
13.3%
1-1
8.41
12%
2-0
8.65
11.7%
1-0
9.09
11.1%
3-1
10.24
9.9%
3-0
11.50
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.53 | Draw 4.47 | Away 5.38 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.47 | Under 2.55 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.35 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.20 | Under 1.65 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.57 | No 2.28 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.18 | X2 2.43 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals82.4%
Over 2.5 Goals56.6%
Over 3.5 Goals42.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newcastle Jets | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 45 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Auckland | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 40 | WDDWD |
| 4 | Sydney | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 38 | DWDLL |
| 5 |  Melbourne City | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Melbourne Victory | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 37 | DDLWW |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 | DWDDL |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26 | LDDLD |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 21 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSydneyPerth Glory
1.07Goals p.g.1.21
1.07Goals conceded p.g.1.71
40%Clean sheets14%
33%Win rate14%
2.13Avg goals in match2.93
Recent Results
SydneyLAST MATCHES
18 AprSydney0–0Perth GloryA-League
11 AprWestern Sydney Wanderers0–2SydneyA-League
02 AprBrisbane Roar0–0SydneyA-League
22 MarSydney1–2Newcastle JetsA-League
17 MarSydney0–1Melbourne CityA-League
07 MarSydney2–2Melbourne VictoryA-League
5Win33%
4Draw27%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESPerth Glory
18 AprSydney0–0Perth GloryA-League
04 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Perth GloryA-League
22 MarPerth Glory1–1Melbourne CityA-League
14 MarWellington Phoenix2–0Perth GloryA-League
08 MarAuckland2–2Perth GloryA-League
28 FebBrisbane Roar1–1Perth GloryA-League
2Win14%
6Draw43%
6Lost43%
Lineups
ConfirmedSydney4-2-3-1Confirmed
23Rhyan GrantDEF
17Ben GaruccioDEF
4Jordan Courtney-PerkinsDEF
41Alexandar PopovicDEF
80Apostolos StamatelopoulosFWD
12Harrison Devenish-MearesGK
70Ahmet ArslanMID
35Al Hassan ToureMID
8Wataru KamijoMID
24Paul Okon-EngstlerMID
7Piero QuispeMID
Substitutes
16Joel KingDEF
44Akol AkonFWD
20Tiago QuintalFWD
13Patrick WoodFWD
1Gus HoefslootGK
6Corey HollmanMID
29Joseph LaceyMID
Perth Glory4-4-2Confirmed
2Charbel ShamoonDEF
3Sam SuttonDEF
45Brian KaltakDEF
4Scott WoottonDEF
9Jaiden KucharskiFWD
39Giovanni De AbreuFWD
29Matthew SuttonGK
25Sebastian DespotovskiMID
27William FreneyMID
7Nicholas PenningtonMID
16Gabriel PopovicMID
Substitutes
24Andriano LebibDEF
22Adam TaggartFWD
67Stefan ColakovskiFWD
17Arion SulemaniFWD
40Ryan WarnerGK
18Luca TevereMID
30Tadiwanashe KuzambaMID
Unavailable Players
10 playersSydney3
A. Grant
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Lolley
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
M. Tisserand
Missing FixtureInactive
Perth Glory7
B. O'Neill
Missing FixtureInjury
C. Cook
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
C. Timmins
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Anasmo
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
L. Wales
Missing FixtureInjury
T. Lawrence
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
T. Ostler
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Sydney Win1.53 (59.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (56.6%)
Both Teams Score1.57 (56%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.55 (43.4%)
BTTS No2.28 (44%)
Speculative
Draw4.47 (19.6%)
Perth Glory Win5.38 (21.2%)