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Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna

BundesligaChampionship Group - 29
Sturm Graz
#1 · Bundesliga
DWDDW
1 - 1
Merkur-Arena, Graz
Referee: S. Ebner
Austria Vienna
#4 · Bundesliga
LLLWL
50%
Home Win
22.8%
Draw
27.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Sturm Graz will face Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga at Merkur-Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sturm Graz has a 50% probability of winning this match. Austria Vienna has a 27.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Sturm Graz are unbeaten in their last 5 matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Sturm Graz50%2.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.5%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.20
16.2%
1-0
7.87
12.8%
2-1
8.33
12.1%
0-1
9.50
10.6%
1-2
10.13
10%
0-0
10.19
10%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.16Draw 3.42Away 3.11
O/U 2.5Over 1.85Under 1.92
O/U 1.5Over 1.26Under 3.57
O/U 3.5Over 3.10Under 1.33
BTTSYes 1.67No 2.07
Double Chance1X 1.3412 1.28X2 1.64

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
73.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Sturm Graz
2212283326738
DDWDW
1
Ried
28116113638-225
WDDWL
2
SCR Altach
2891183130123
DDWLD
2
Red Bull Salzburg
22107542261637
WLWDL
3
Lask Linz
2211473230237
DWWLD
3
WSG Wattens
2899103845-720
DDLWL
4
Austria Vienna
2211383430436
LDLWL
5
Rapid Vienna
229672625133
DDLWW
6
Wolfsberger AC
2878133341-816
LDDLD
6
TSV Hartberg
228952924533
DDLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Sturm GrazAustria Vienna
1.6Goals p.g.1.67
1.33Goals conceded p.g.1.6
33%Clean sheets33%
40%Win rate40%
2.93Avg goals in match3.27

Recent Results

Sturm GrazLAST MATCHES
19 AprLask Linz1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
05 AprRapid Vienna0–2Sturm GrazBundesliga
27 MarSturm Graz1–1First ViennaFriendlies Clubs
20 MarSturm Graz1–1Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
15 MarAustria Vienna2–5Sturm GrazBundesliga
08 MarSturm Graz2–0SCR AltachBundesliga
6Win40%
6Draw40%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESAustria Vienna
22 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
19 AprAustria Vienna1–3Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
05 AprLask Linz4–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
22 MarTSV Hartberg0–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
15 MarAustria Vienna2–5Sturm GrazBundesliga
08 MarRied0–2Austria ViennaBundesliga
6Win40%
2Draw13%
6Lost40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sturm Graz

No reported absences

Austria Vienna

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.67 (58%)
●Value Bets
Sturm Graz Win2.16 (50%)
Austria Vienna Win3.11 (27.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.85 (54.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.92 (45.5%)
BTTS No2.07 (42%)
●Speculative
Draw3.42 (22.8%)
Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro