Southern District vs Kowloon City

Premier LeagueRelegation Group - 2
Southern District
#4 · Premier League
LLDLW
3 - 1
Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hongkong
Kowloon City
#1 · Premier League
WWDLL
39%
Home Win
22.7%
Draw
38.3%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Southern District will face Kowloon City in the Premier League at Aberdeen Sports Ground.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Southern District has a 39% probability of winning this match. Kowloon City has a 38.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Southern District39%2.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.1%1.65
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.12
16.5%
2-1
8.21
12.5%
1-2
8.46
12.1%
1-0
8.68
11.7%
0-1
9.45
10.8%
2-2
10.34
10.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.31Draw 3.39Away 2.65
O/U 2.5Over 1.65Under 2.10
O/U 1.5Over 1.18Under 4.06
O/U 3.5Over 2.59Under 1.42
BTTSYes 1.52No 2.30
Double Chance1X 1.3912 1.25X2 1.51

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kowloon City
197392434-1024
WWDLW
1
Kitchee
19162148192950
LWWWW
2
Warriors
19116251203139
WDDDW
2
BC Rangers
1962112339-1620
WLDLL
3
Eastern District
1954101617-119
LLDLD
3
Wofoo Tai Po
19104539281134
WWWWL
4
Southern District
1953111931-1218
LLDLW
5
Eastern
187472928125
WDLWD
5
Hong Kong FC
1811161253-414
LLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Southern DistrictKowloon City
1.07Goals p.g.1.13
1.79Goals conceded p.g.1.87
14%Clean sheets20%
29%Win rate40%
2.86Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

Southern DistrictLAST MATCHES
19 AprBC Rangers31Southern DistrictPremier League
12 AprKowloon City21Southern DistrictPremier League
22 MarSouthern District22North DistrictPremier League
15 MarWofoo Tai Po10Southern DistrictPremier League
28 FebSouthern District21Wofoo Tai PoPremier League
22 FebSouthern District21Hong Kong FCPremier League
4Win29%
1Draw7%
9Lost64%
LAST MATCHESKowloon City
19 AprKowloon City21Eastern DistrictPremier League
12 AprKowloon City21Southern DistrictPremier League
21 MarWarriors00Kowloon CityPremier League
18 MarKitchee10Kowloon CityLeague Cup
14 MarKitchee40Kowloon CityPremier League
01 MarKowloon City51BC RangersPremier League
6Win40%
1Draw7%
8Lost53%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Southern District

No reported absences

Kowloon City

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.65 (56.1%)
Both Teams Score1.52 (59.8%)
Value Bets
Southern District Win2.31 (39%)
Kowloon City Win2.65 (38.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (43.9%)
BTTS No2.30 (40.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.39 (22.7%)
Southern District vs Kowloon City Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro