Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

SuperligaChampionship Group - 28
Sonderjyske
#3 · Superliga
LLDLD
1 - 2
Sydbank Park, Haderslev
Referee: Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen, Denmark
FC Midtjylland
#2 · Superliga
WDDLL
25%
Home Win
19.4%
Draw
55.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Sonderjyske will face FC Midtjylland in the Superliga at Sydbank Park.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sonderjyske has a 25% probability of winning this match. FC Midtjylland has a 55.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.4%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
2 — FC Midtjylland55.6%1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.9%1.45
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-2
7.60
13.2%
1-1
8.44
11.9%
0-2
8.86
11.3%
0-1
9.37
10.7%
1-3
10.16
9.9%
0-3
11.70
8.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 5.33Draw 4.39Away 1.53
O/U 2.5Over 1.45Under 2.64
O/U 1.5Over 1.12Under 5.60
O/U 3.5Over 2.16Under 1.67
BTTSYes 1.52No 2.35
Double Chance1X 2.4212 1.18X2 1.14

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
61.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
43.7%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Aarhus
22155246232350
DLDWD
1
FC Copenhagen
281251152411141
WWWWL
2
Odense
28107114554-937
LWLWD
2
FC Midtjylland
22137258233546
WWWDD
3
Sonderjyske
2210663428636
LLLDL
3
Randers FC
2887133038-831
DLLDL
5
Silkeborg
2886143557-2230
WDWLW
6
FC Nordsjaelland
22101113739-231
DWDWW
6
Vejle
2839163356-2318
LLDDD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
1.4Goals p.g.1.56
1.8Goals conceded p.g.1.25
20%Clean sheets31%
27%Win rate44%
3.2Avg goals in match2.81

Recent Results

SonderjyskeLAST MATCHES
23 AprSonderjyske12FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
12 AprSonderjyske02ViborgSuperliga
04 AprFC Midtjylland22SonderjyskeSuperliga
22 MarFC Nordsjaelland20SonderjyskeSuperliga
15 MarSonderjyske11AarhusSuperliga
01 MarSonderjyske10OdenseSuperliga
4Win27%
5Draw33%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESFC Midtjylland
20 AprFC Midtjylland21AarhusSuperliga
04 AprFC Midtjylland22SonderjyskeSuperliga
22 MarViborg11FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
19 MarFC Midtjylland12Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa League
15 MarFC Midtjylland01FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
12 MarNottingham Forest01FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa League
7Win44%
5Draw31%
3Lost19%

Lineups

Confirmed

Sonderjyske4-2-3-1Confirmed

6Rasmus VinderslevDEF
12Maxime SoulasDEF
23Chidiebube DuruDEF
4Daníel GrétarssonDEF
9Matthew HoppeFWD
27Benicio PeñaGK
24Olti HyseniMID
22Andreas OggesenMID
11Alexander LyngMID
26Tobias SommerMID
7Sefer EminiMID
13Dalton WilkinsDEF
19Pachanga KristensenDEF
15Lirim QamiliFWD
20Tobias KlysnerFWD
30Noah NguyenGK
28Anders BergholtMID
34Elias Hjort-PedersenMID
33Lasse MandalMID
29Albert RrahmaniMID

FC Midtjylland3-4-2-1Confirmed

3Han-Beom LeeDEF
6Martin ErlićDEF
22Mads Bech SørensenDEF
14Edward ChilufyaFWD
58Aral ŞimşirFWD
10Gue-sung ChoFWD
16Elías ÓlafssonGK
19Pedro BravoMID
11Darío OsorioMID
21Denil CastilloMID
29PaulinhoMID
43Kevin MbabuDEF
55Victor Bak JensenDEF
13Adam GabrielDEF
38Julius EmefileFWD
7Franculino DjúFWD
41Mikel GogorzaFWD
1Jonas LösslGK
8Philip BillingMID
20Valdemar ByskovMID

Unavailable Players

8 players

Sonderjyske3

M. Bundgaard
Missing FixtureHead Injury
M. Cherif
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
R. Sigurgeirsson
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

FC Midtjylland5

A. Djabi
Missing FixtureHealth problems
Junior Brumado
Missing FixtureRibs Injury
M. Uhre
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
O. Diao
Missing FixtureRed Card
P. Billing
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury

Betting Strategy

High Probability
FC Midtjylland Win1.53 (55.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.45 (61.9%)
Both Teams Score1.52 (60.3%)
Value Bets
Sonderjyske Win5.33 (25%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.64 (38.1%)
BTTS No2.35 (39.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.39 (19.4%)
Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland Predictions, Stats, H2H - 23 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro