Silkeborg vs FC Fredericia

SuperligaRelegation Group - 27

Silkeborg

#5 · Superliga

DLWDL

2 - 2

Jysk Park, Silkeborg

Referee: Jens Maae, Denmark

FC Fredericia

#4 · Superliga

DLWLW

45.6%

Home Win

21.1%

Draw

33.3%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Silkeborg to Win

Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over FC Fredericia make Silkeborg the value pick here.

Moneyline

2.10

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.04 for Silkeborg to Win. Our model calculates a 45.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Silkeborg will face FC Fredericia in the Superliga at Jysk Park.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Silkeborg has a 45.6% probability of winning this match. FC Fredericia has a 33.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.1%.

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Silkeborg45.6%2.04

✓ OUR PICK

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.565.3%1.44

Both Teams to Score

Yes66.1%1.40

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

7.61

13.2%

2-1

8.45

11.9%

2-2

10.21

9.9%

1-2

10.61

9.5%

1-0

11.59

8.7%

2-0

12.70

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.04	Draw 3.78	Away 3.14
O/U 2.5	Over 1.44	Under 2.67
O/U 1.5	Over 1.12	Under 5.70
O/U 3.5	Over 2.10	Under 1.71
BTTS	Yes 1.40	No 2.75
Double Chance	1X 1.34	12 1.23	X2 1.74

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

94%

Over 1.5 Goals

83.5%

Over 2.5 Goals

65.3%

Over 3.5 Goals

44.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Superliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Aarhus	22	15	5	2	46	23	23	50	DLDWD
1	FC Copenhagen	28	12	5	11	52	41	11	41	WWWWL
2	Odense	28	10	7	11	45	54	-9	37	LWLWD
2	FC Midtjylland	22	13	7	2	58	23	35	46	WWWDD
3	Sonderjyske	22	10	6	6	34	28	6	36	LLLDL
3	Randers FC	28	8	7	13	30	38	-8	31	DLLDL
4	FC Fredericia	28	8	6	14	38	60	-22	30	DDDLW
5	Silkeborg	28	8	6	14	35	57	-22	30	WDWLW
6	FC Nordsjaelland	22	10	1	11	37	39	-2	31	DWDWW
6	Vejle	28	3	9	16	33	56	-23	18	LLDDD

Key Statistics

2025 Season

SilkeborgFC Fredericia

1.71Goals p.g.1.5

2.36Goals conceded p.g.1.21

14%Clean sheets29%

21%Win rate43%

4.07Avg goals in match2.71

Recent Results

SilkeborgLAST MATCHES

19 AprSilkeborg2–2FC FredericiaSuperliga

05 AprFC Copenhagen7–0SilkeborgSuperliga

22 MarRanders FC0–3SilkeborgSuperliga

16 MarSilkeborg1–1VejleSuperliga

06 MarBrondby2–0SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs

01 MarFC Fredericia2–1SilkeborgSuperliga

3Win21%

2Draw14%

9Lost64%

LAST MATCHESFC Fredericia

19 AprSilkeborg2–2FC FredericiaSuperliga

06 AprOdense1–0FC FredericiaSuperliga

22 MarFC Copenhagen1–2FC FredericiaSuperliga

13 MarFC Fredericia0–3Randers FCSuperliga

01 MarFC Fredericia2–1SilkeborgSuperliga

22 FebRanders FC1–2FC FredericiaSuperliga

6Win43%

6Draw43%

2Lost14%

Lineups

Confirmed

Silkeborg4-3-3Confirmed

2Andreas PoulsenDEF

19Jens Martin GammelbyDEF

3Robin ØstrømDEF

4Pedro GanchasDEF

10Younes BakizFWD

11Oliver RossFWD

23Tonni AdamsenFWD

1Nicolai LarsenGK

17Callum McCowattMID

6Adam WikmanMID

27William KirkMID

Substitutes

15Melker JonssonDEF

9Alexander SimmelhackFWD

30Aske AndrésenGK

33Mads FreundlichMID

14Sofus BergerMID

20Mads LarsenMID

22Rami Al HajjMID

36Julius LorentsMID

7Villads WesthMID

FC Fredericia4-2-3-1Confirmed

3Adam NygaardDEF

5Frederik RieperDEF

8Jakob JessenDEF

14Anders DahlDEF

25Friday EtimFWD

90Valdemar BirksøGK

17Daniel KristjanssonMID

29Mathias HellMID

7Gustav MarcussenMID

29Elias HansborgMID

16Sofus JohannesenMID

6Felix WintherMID

Substitutes

4Jeppe KudskDEF

15Malthe LadefogedDEF

9Patrick EgelundFWD

19Eskild DallFWD

23Mads EriksenGK

21Jonatan LindekildeMID

10Emilio SimonsenMID

18Andreas PyndtMID

11Moses OpondoMID

Unavailable Players

6 players

Silkeborg5

✕A. Busch

Missing FixtureAnkle Injury

✕A. Madsen

Missing FixtureInjury

✕M. Oxenberg

Missing FixtureInactive

✕P. Rodin

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕V. Westh

Missing FixtureInactive

FC Fredericia1

✕S. Crone

Missing FixtureYellow Cards

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (65.3%)

Both Teams Score1.40 (66.1%)

●Value Bets

Silkeborg Win2.04 (45.6%)

FC Fredericia Win3.14 (33.3%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.67 (34.7%)

BTTS No2.75 (33.9%)

●Speculative

Draw3.78 (21.1%)