SC Braga vs Famalicao
SC Braga
#4 · Primeira Liga
WDWDW
2 - 2
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Referee: D. Silva
Famalicao
#5 · Primeira Liga
DDDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.87
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , SC Braga will face Famalicao in the Primeira Liga at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that SC Braga has a 50.3% probability of winning this match. Famalicao has a 26.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- SC Braga have won 3 of their last 5 games
- SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- SC Braga boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.8 goals per game
- SC Braga have kept clean sheets in 56% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — SC Braga50.3%2.01
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.8%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%1.75
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.15
16.3%
1-0
7.14
14.1%
2-1
8.04
12.5%
2-0
9.28
10.9%
0-0
9.53
10.7%
0-1
10.09
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.01 | Draw 3.37 | Away 3.66 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.92 | Under 1.87 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.46 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.24 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.75 | No 1.99 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.27 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.76 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals73.1%
Over 2.5 Goals48.2%
Over 3.5 Goals28.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61 | 14 | 47 | 79 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 30 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 72 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 71 | LWWWD |
| 4 | SC Braga | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 56 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Famalicao | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 48 | DDDWW |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 | LDWLD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 26 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 13 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSC BragaFamalicao
1.83Goals p.g.1.33
0.78Goals conceded p.g.1.13
56%Clean sheets40%
61%Win rate47%
2.61Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
SC BragaLAST MATCHES
23 AprCasa Pia0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
12 AprSC Braga1–0AroucaPrimeira Liga
08 AprSC Braga1–1Real BetisUEFA Europa League
04 AprMoreirense0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
22 MarSC Braga1–2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
11Win61%
4Draw22%
3Lost17%
LAST MATCHESFamalicao
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
10 AprFamalicao1–1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
04 AprFC Porto2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
21 MarFamalicao1–0NacionalPrimeira Liga
14 MarGuimaraes1–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
06 MarFamalicao1–0AroucaPrimeira Liga
7Win47%
4Draw27%
4Lost27%
Lineups
ConfirmedSC Braga3-4-2-1Confirmed
17Gabriel MoscardoDEF
6Vítor CarvalhoDEF
14Gustaf LagerbielkeDEF
21Ricardo HortaFWD
18Pau VíctorFWD
39Fran NavarroFWD
1Lukáš HorníčekGK
2Victor GómezMID
5Leonardo LeloMID
8João MoutinhoMID
27Florian GrillitschMID
Substitutes
15Paulo OliveiraDEF
53Jonatás NoroDEF
9Amine El OuazzaniFWD
12Tiago SaGK
41Yanis da RochaMID
90Luís PintoMID
34Demir Ege TıknazMID
20Mario DorgelesMID
29Jean-Baptiste GorbyMID
Famalicao4-2-3-1Confirmed
55Ibrahima BaDEF
5Rafa SoaresDEF
16Justin De HaasDEF
17Rodrigo PinheiroDEF
12Simon ElisorFWD
25Lazar CarevićGK
14Mathias De AmorimMID
6Tom Van De LooiMID
7SorrisoMID
80Pedro SantosMID
23Gil DiasMID
Substitutes
28Pedro BondoDEF
3Léo RealpeDEF
2Gustavo GarcíaDEF
9Umar AbubakarFWD
77Antoine JoujouFWD
1Ivan ZlobinGK
15Otar MamageishviliMID
47Gonzalo PastorMID
8Marcos PeñaMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersSC Braga
No reported absences
Famalicao
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
SC Braga Win2.01 (50.3%)
Famalicao Win3.66 (26.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.92 (48.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.87 (51.8%)
Both Teams Score1.75 (52.1%)
BTTS No1.99 (47.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.37 (23.6%)
