Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
#28 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWWWL
1 - 0
Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
Referee: S. Zunino
Tigre
#19 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DLDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 59.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sarmiento Junin will face Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Eva Peron.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sarmiento Junin has a 34.4% probability of winning this match. Tigre has a 37.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 27.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Sarmiento Junin have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Tigre sit 19th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Tigre37.9%2.48
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.568%1.36
Both Teams to Score
No59.9%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-0
5.29
19%
0-1
5.29
19%
1-1
5.58
18%
1-0
6.42
15.6%
0-2
9.79
10.3%
1-2
10.18
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.27 | Draw 2.79 | Away 2.48 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.99 | Under 1.36 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.66 | Under 2.18 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 6.37 | Under 1.10 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.32 | No 1.55 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.50 | 12 1.40 | X2 1.31 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals82.8%
Over 1.5 Goals56.8%
Over 2.5 Goals32%
Over 3.5 Goals14.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 19 | Tigre | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | DDLLD | |||
| 28 | Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSarmiento JuninTigre
0.87Goals p.g.1.25
1Goals conceded p.g.0.94
33%Clean sheets25%
40%Win rate31%
1.87Avg goals in match2.19
Recent Results
Sarmiento JuninLAST MATCHES
19 AprRosario Central2–1Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
09 AprSarmiento Junin1–0Tristan SuarezCopa Argentina
02 AprBarracas Central1–2Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
22 MarSarmiento Junin2–0AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
15 MarRiver Plate2–0Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
11 MarSarmiento Junin0–0Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
6Win40%
2Draw13%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESTigre
21 AprTigre1–1HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
16 AprTigre0–1MacaraCONMEBOL Sudamericana
08 AprAlianza Atletico1–1TigreCONMEBOL Sudamericana
02 AprTigre0–2Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarBanfield1–0TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
16 MarTigre1–1Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSarmiento Junin
No reported absences
Tigre
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.36 (68%)
BTTS No1.55 (59.9%)
Value Bets
Sarmiento Junin Win3.27 (34.4%)
Draw2.79 (27.7%)
Tigre Win2.48 (37.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.99 (32%)
Both Teams Score2.32 (40.1%)
