Santos Laguna vs Monterrey
Santos Laguna
#18 · Liga MX
LLLDW
3 - 0
Estadio Corona
Monterrey
#11 · Liga MX
WLDLL
★ OUR PICK
Monterrey to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over Santos Laguna make Monterrey the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.01
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.92 for Monterrey to Win. Our model calculates a 50.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Santos Laguna will face Monterrey in the Liga MX at Estadio Corona.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Santos Laguna has a 28.2% probability of winning this match. Monterrey has a 50.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Monterrey50.4%1.92
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.45
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.26
13.8%
1-2
7.99
12.6%
0-1
10.11
9.9%
2-2
10.48
9.6%
0-2
11.26
9%
2-1
11.23
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.45 | Draw 3.71 | Away 1.92 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.49 | Under 2.49 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 5.23 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.22 | Under 1.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.45 | No 2.55 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.82 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.28 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.7%
Over 1.5 Goals82.1%
Over 2.5 Goals61%
Over 3.5 Goals42.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | DWLDW |
| 2 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Pachuca | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 30 | DDDLD |
| 5 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 | LLDLD |
| 6 |  Club America | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL |
| 11 | Monterrey | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 17 |  Puebla | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 13 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 9 | LLLDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSantos LagunaMonterrey
1.06Goals p.g.1.24
2.38Goals conceded p.g.1.41
0%Clean sheets24%
12%Win rate24%
3.44Avg goals in match2.65
Recent Results
Santos LagunaLAST MATCHES
23 AprAtletico San Luis2–0Santos LagunaLiga MX
19 AprSantos Laguna0–1AtlasLiga MX
12 AprPachuca4–2Santos LagunaLiga MX
05 AprSantos Laguna1–1Club AmericaLiga MX
22 MarSantos Laguna2–1PueblaLiga MX
14 MarGuadalajara Chivas3–0Santos LagunaLiga MX
2Win13%
3Draw19%
11Lost69%
LAST MATCHESMonterrey
22 AprMonterrey2–1PueblaLiga MX
19 AprMonterrey1–3PachucaLiga MX
12 AprAtlas0–0MonterreyLiga MX
04 AprMonterrey1–2Atletico San LuisLiga MX
22 MarMonterrey2–3Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
18 MarCruz Azul1–1MonterreyCONCACAF Champions League
4Win24%
5Draw29%
8Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSantos Laguna
No reported absences
Monterrey
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.49 (61%)
Both Teams Score1.45 (62%)
Value Bets
Santos Laguna Win3.45 (28.2%)
Monterrey Win1.92 (50.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.49 (39%)
BTTS No2.55 (38%)
Speculative
Draw3.71 (21.4%)