Santos Laguna vs Atlas

Liga MXClausura - 15

Santos Laguna

#18 · Liga MX

LLLDW

0 - 1

Estadio Corona

Referee: J. Valle

Atlas

#7 · Liga MX

DWDLL

33.2%

Home Win

22.7%

Draw

44.1%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.64

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Santos Laguna will face Atlas in the Liga MX at Estadio Corona.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Santos Laguna has a 33.2% probability of winning this match. Atlas has a 44.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Atlas sit 7th in the table, 11 places above their opponents
Atlas have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches
Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — Atlas44.1%2.52

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.552.9%1.74

Both Teams to Score

Yes56.3%1.59

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.29

16%

2-1

8.92

11.3%

1-2

8.97

11.2%

0-1

9.23

10.9%

1-0

9.27

10.9%

2-2

11.38

8.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.54	Draw 3.47	Away 2.52
O/U 2.5	Over 1.74	Under 2.04
O/U 1.5	Over 1.21	Under 3.98
O/U 3.5	Over 2.81	Under 1.39
BTTS	Yes 1.59	No 2.22
Double Chance	1X 1.47	12 1.28	X2 1.47

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

91.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

76.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

52.9%

Over 3.5 Goals

33.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
7	Atlas	16	6	5	5	15	18	-3	23	DWDLD
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

Santos LagunaAtlas

1.06Goals p.g.0.88

2.38Goals conceded p.g.1.12

0%Clean sheets41%

12%Win rate35%

3.44Avg goals in match2

Recent Results

Santos LagunaLAST MATCHES

23 AprAtletico San Luis2–0Santos LagunaLiga MX

19 AprSantos Laguna0–1AtlasLiga MX

12 AprPachuca4–2Santos LagunaLiga MX

05 AprSantos Laguna1–1Club AmericaLiga MX

22 MarSantos Laguna2–1PueblaLiga MX

14 MarGuadalajara Chivas3–0Santos LagunaLiga MX

2Win13%

3Draw19%

11Lost69%

LAST MATCHESAtlas

23 AprAtlas0–0Tigres UANLLiga MX

19 AprSantos Laguna0–1AtlasLiga MX

12 AprAtlas0–0MonterreyLiga MX

05 AprLeon2–0AtlasLiga MX

30 MarAtlas0–1Guadalajara ChivasFriendlies Clubs

21 MarAtlas0–0Club QueretaroLiga MX

6Win35%

5Draw29%

6Lost35%

Lineups

Confirmed

Santos Laguna4-3-1-2Confirmed

35Kevin BalantaDEF

22Kevin PiconDEF

17Emmanuel EcheverríaDEF

14Efrain OronaDEF

9Lucas Di YorioFWD

10Ezequiel BullaudeFWD

1Carlos AcevedoGK

5Aldo LopezMID

6Javier GuemezMID

21Francisco VillalbaMID

8Salvador MariscalMID

Substitutes

4Jose AbellaDEF

19Haret OrtegaDEF

185Juan Carlos EchilvestreDEF

29Tahiel JiménezFWD

7Cristián DájomeFWD

33Hector HolguinGK

24Diego MedinaMID

193Luis GómezMID

26Ramiro SordoMID

195Nelson CedilloMID

Atlas3-5-2Confirmed

25Jorge RodríguezDEF

21Rodrigo SchlegelDEF

28Manuel CapassoDEF

19Eduardo AguirreFWD

58Arturo GonzalezFWD

12Camilo VargasGK

27Victor RiosMID

11Diego GonzálezMID

26Aldo RochaMID

15Paulo RamírezMID

3Gustavo FerrareisMID

Substitutes

13Gaddi AguirreDEF

4Adrián MoraDEF

44Róber PierDEF

251Luis GamboaFWD

9Agustín RodríguezFWD

10Gustavo del PreteFWD

22Antonio SánchezGK

6Edgar ZaldívarMID

8Mateo GarcíaMID

199Sergio HernandezMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Santos Laguna

No reported absences

Atlas

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Both Teams Score1.59 (56.3%)

●Value Bets

Santos Laguna Win2.54 (33.2%)

Atlas Win2.52 (44.1%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (52.9%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.04 (47.1%)

BTTS No2.22 (43.7%)

●Speculative

Draw3.47 (22.7%)