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Santa Clara vs SC Braga

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 31
Santa Clara
#13 · Primeira Liga
DLLWW
2 - 1
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
SC Braga
#4 · Primeira Liga
WDWDW
29.7%
Home Win
24.6%
Draw
45.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Santa Clara will face SC Braga in the Primeira Liga at Estádio de São Miguel.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Santa Clara has a 29.7% probability of winning this match. SC Braga has a 45.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • SC Braga have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • SC Braga sit 4th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
  • SC Braga have a solid defence with 0.8 goals conceded per game
  • SC Braga have kept clean sheets in 56% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — SC Braga45.7%2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.557.5%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.9%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.79
17.3%
0-1
5.87
17.1%
0-0
7.08
14.2%
1-0
8.01
12.6%
1-2
8.75
11.5%
0-2
9.08
11.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.38Draw 3.11Away 2.20
O/U 2.5Over 2.37Under 1.56
O/U 1.5Over 1.43Under 2.66
O/U 3.5Over 4.47Under 1.18
BTTSYes 1.99No 1.74
Double Chance1X 1.6512 1.33X2 1.29

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
86.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
42.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
20.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
30254161144779
WWDWW
2
Benfica
30219063194472
WWDWW
3
Sporting CP
29225274195571
LWWWD
4
SC Braga
30168658292956
WDWWL
5
Famalicao
30139838271148
DDDWW
6
GIL Vicente
301210844311346
LDWLD
13
Santa Clara
3078152637-1129
DLLWW
16
Casa Pia
30511142853-2526
LDLDL
17
Tondela
2949162148-2721
LDLDL
18
AVS
30110192164-4313
DDLDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Santa ClaraSC Braga
1Goals p.g.1.83
1.47Goals conceded p.g.0.78
27%Clean sheets56%
20%Win rate61%
2.47Avg goals in match2.61

Recent Results

Santa ClaraLAST MATCHES
18 AprCasa Pia0–0Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
11 AprSanta Clara0–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
03 AprSporting CP4–2Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
21 MarSanta Clara1–0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
15 MarAVS0–1Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
08 MarSanta Clara2–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
3Win20%
4Draw27%
8Lost53%
LAST MATCHESSC Braga
23 AprCasa Pia0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
12 AprSC Braga1–0AroucaPrimeira Liga
08 AprSC Braga1–1Real BetisUEFA Europa League
04 AprMoreirense0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
22 MarSC Braga1–2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
11Win61%
4Draw22%
3Lost17%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Santa Clara

No reported absences

SC Braga

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.56 (57.5%)
●Value Bets
Santa Clara Win3.38 (29.7%)
SC Braga Win2.20 (45.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.37 (42.5%)
Both Teams Score1.99 (47.1%)
BTTS No1.74 (52.9%)
●Speculative
Draw3.11 (24.6%)
Santa Clara vs SC Braga Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro