San Diego vs Portland Timbers
San Diego
#9 · Major League Soccer
LLDLD
1 - 2
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: J. Freemon
Portland Timbers
#12 · Major League Soccer
LWLDL
★ OUR PICK
San Diego to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Portland Timbers make San Diego the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for San Diego to Win. Our model calculates a 52.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , San Diego will face Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer at Snapdragon Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that San Diego has a 52.3% probability of winning this match. Portland Timbers has a 28.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- San Diego average 2.0 goals per game
- San Diego have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — San Diego52.3%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.9%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes65.3%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.04
12.5%
1-1
8.53
11.8%
2-0
10.87
9.3%
2-2
10.93
9.2%
3-1
10.92
9.2%
1-0
11.28
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.71 | Draw 4.24 | Away 4.10 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.40 | Under 2.85 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 6.24 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.02 | Under 1.78 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.66 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.22 | 12 1.19 | X2 2.08 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.6%
Over 1.5 Goals84.9%
Over 2.5 Goals66.9%
Over 3.5 Goals46.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 9 | San Diego | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 11 | LLLDD |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSan DiegoPortland Timbers
2Goals p.g.1.27
1.53Goals conceded p.g.2.07
40%Clean sheets7%
53%Win rate20%
3.53Avg goals in match3.33
Recent Results
San DiegoLAST MATCHES
19 AprReal Salt Lake4–2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
05 AprSan Jose Earthquakes3–0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
22 MarSan Diego2–2Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
19 MarToluca4–0San DiegoCONCACAF Champions League
15 MarFC Dallas3–3San DiegoMajor League Soccer
12 MarSan Diego3–2TolucaCONCACAF Champions League
8Win53%
2Draw13%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESPortland Timbers
19 AprMinnesota United FC2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
11 AprPortland Timbers2–1Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
05 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
22 MarPortland Timbers1–1Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
15 MarHouston Dynamo3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
08 MarPortland Timbers1–4Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
3Win20%
3Draw20%
8Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSan Diego
No reported absences
Portland Timbers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.40 (66.9%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (65.3%)
Value Bets
San Diego Win1.71 (52.3%)
Portland Timbers Win4.10 (28.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.85 (33.1%)
BTTS No2.66 (34.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.24 (19.6%)
