Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
#7 · Süper Lig
DWLDW
2 - 1
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Referee: G. Hasova
Beşiktaş
#4 · Süper Lig
DLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Samsunspor will face Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Samsunspor has a 35.5% probability of winning this match. Beşiktaş has a 41.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Samsunspor have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Beşiktaş41.8%2.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.2%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.5%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.71
15%
1-2
7.98
12.6%
0-1
8.97
11.3%
2-1
10.73
9.4%
0-2
10.83
9.4%
2-2
11.10
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.34 | Draw 3.54 | Away 2.04 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.64 | Under 2.22 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.43 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.53 | Under 1.47 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.53 | No 2.34 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.75 | 12 1.26 | X2 1.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals78.9%
Over 2.5 Goals54.2%
Over 3.5 Goals36.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 71 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 67 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 55 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 48 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 48 | DDLWD |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | WWLDW |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 25 | WLLLL |
| 17 |  Kayserispor | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 57 | -36 | 23 | LLLWL |
| 18 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 | LLWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSamsunsporBeşiktaş
1.29Goals p.g.1.81
1.18Goals conceded p.g.1
53%Clean sheets31%
47%Win rate56%
2.47Avg goals in match2.81
Recent Results
SamsunsporLAST MATCHES
23 AprSamsunspor0–0TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
19 AprSamsunspor2–1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
09 AprRizespor4–1SamsunsporSüper Lig
05 AprSamsunspor2–2KonyasporSüper Lig
19 MarRayo Vallecano0–1SamsunsporUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarSamsunspor2–1KayserisporSüper Lig
8Win47%
4Draw24%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESBeşiktaş
23 AprBeşiktaş0–0AlanyasporTürkiye Kupası
19 AprSamsunspor2–1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
10 AprBeşiktaş4–2AntalyasporSüper Lig
05 AprFenerbahçe1–0BeşiktaşSüper Lig
19 MarBeşiktaş2–1KasımpaşaSüper Lig
15 MarGençlerbirliği S.K.0–2BeşiktaşSüper Lig
9Win56%
4Draw25%
3Lost19%
Lineups
ConfirmedSamsunspor4-2-3-1Confirmed
18Zeki YavruDEF
17Logi TomassonDEF
4Rick Van DrongelenDEF
37Lubomir SatkaDEF
9Marius MouandilmadjiFWD
1Okan KocukGK
21Carlo HolseMID
11Emre KilincMID
10Olivier NtchamMID
70Tanguy CoulibalyMID
29Antoine MakoumbouMID
Substitutes
55Yunus Emre ÇiftDEF
15Ali DiabatéDEF
2Josafat MendesDEF
23Enes AlbakDEF
28Soner GönülDEF
19Cherif NdiayeFWD
7Elayis TavsanFWD
33Efe Yiğit ÜstünGK
20Yalçın KayanMID
77Afonso SousaMID
Beşiktaş4-1-4-1Confirmed
62Amir MurilloDEF
33Rıdvan YılmazDEF
14Felix UduokhaiDEF
12Emmanuel AgbadouDEF
9Hyeon-gyu OhFWD
30Ersin DestanoğluGK
23Kristjan AsllaniMID
11Cengiz ÜnderMID
10Orkun KökçüMID
15Junior OlaitanMID
19El Bilal TouréMID
Substitutes
35Tiago DjalóDEF
22Taylan BulutDEF
58Yasin ÖzcanDEF
26Jota SilvaFWD
91Mustafa HekimoğluFWD
18Vaclav CernyFWD
32Devis VásquezGK
25Gökhan SazdağıMID
8Salih UcanMID
7Milot RashicaMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersSamsunspor5
B. Cetin
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
C. Holse
QuestionableInactive
C. Yuksel
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Assoumou
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
L. Satka
Missing FixtureBroken Hand
Beşiktaş3
E. Topcu
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
K. Kayra Yilmaz
Missing FixtureInactive
W. Ndidi
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.53 (57.5%)
Value Bets
Samsunspor Win3.34 (35.5%)
Beşiktaş Win2.04 (41.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (54.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.22 (45.8%)
BTTS No2.34 (42.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.54 (22.7%)
