River Plate vs Aldosivi
River Plate
#2 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWDWW
3 - 1
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
Referee: N. Ramirez
Aldosivi
#29 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DLDLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.75
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 (implied 61.1%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 63.4% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.58. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , River Plate will face Aldosivi in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Monumental.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that River Plate has a 72.1% probability of winning this match. Aldosivi has a 8.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- River Plate have won 3 of their last 5 games
- River Plate sit 2nd in the table, 27 places above their opponents
- River Plate boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- River Plate have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
- Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — River Plate72.1%1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.563.4%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No68.5%1.33
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
4.32
23.3%
2-0
4.50
22.4%
3-0
6.52
15.4%
0-0
7.95
12.7%
2-1
10.10
10.1%
1-1
10.36
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.27 | Draw 4.87 | Away 14.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.23 | Under 1.64 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.92 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.14 | Under 1.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes 3.15 | No 1.33 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.03 | 12 1.15 | X2 3.61 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.8%
Over 1.5 Goals67.7%
Over 2.5 Goals36.6%
Over 3.5 Goals22.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 | River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 | Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRiver PlateAldosivi
1.25Goals p.g.0.69
0.69Goals conceded p.g.1.06
50%Clean sheets31%
56%Win rate12%
1.94Avg goals in match1.75
Recent Results
River PlateLAST MATCHES
19 AprRiver Plate0–1Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
16 AprRiver Plate1–0Carabobo FCCONMEBOL Sudamericana
09 AprBlooming1–1River PlateCONMEBOL Sudamericana
05 AprRiver Plate3–0Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
22 MarEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–2River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
15 MarRiver Plate2–0Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
9Win56%
3Draw19%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESAldosivi
19 AprAldosivi1–1Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
11 AprBelgrano Cordoba1–0AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
04 AprAldosivi0–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
31 MarAldosivi0–2Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
22 MarSarmiento Junin2–0AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
16 MarAldosivi0–0HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2Win13%
7Draw44%
7Lost44%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRiver Plate
No reported absences
Aldosivi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
River Plate Win1.27 (72.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.64 (63.4%)
BTTS No1.33 (68.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.23 (36.6%)
Both Teams Score3.15 (31.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.87 (19.3%)
Aldosivi Win14.64 (8.7%)
