Ried vs Grazer AK
Ried
#1 · Bundesliga
WLLWL
2 - 1
Josko Arena, Ried im Innkreis
Referee: Daniel Pfister, Austria
Grazer AK
#4 · Bundesliga
WWWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.95
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.86 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Ried will face Grazer AK in the Bundesliga at Josko Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Ried has a 42.8% probability of winning this match. Grazer AK has a 32.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Grazer AK are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Ried42.8%2.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.4%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%1.86
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.78
17.4%
1-0
6.47
15.5%
0-0
7.77
12.9%
2-1
8.41
12%
0-1
8.47
11.9%
2-0
9.50
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.19 | Draw 3.11 | Away 3.38 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.18 | Under 1.65 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 2.93 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.95 | Under 1.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.86 | No 1.83 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.29 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88%
Over 1.5 Goals68.4%
Over 2.5 Goals47.6%
Over 3.5 Goals23.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDWDW |
| 1 | Ried | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 25 | WDDWL |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | WLWDL |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | DWWLD |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 20 | DDLWL |
| 4 | Grazer AK | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 20 | LDLWW |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 | DDLWW |
| 6 |  Wolfsberger AC | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | DDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRiedGrazer AK
1.5Goals p.g.1.85
1.29Goals conceded p.g.1.08
14%Clean sheets15%
36%Win rate46%
2.79Avg goals in match2.92
Recent Results
RiedLAST MATCHES
03 AprRied3–2SCR AltachBundesliga
21 MarFC BW Linz3–2RiedBundesliga
18 MarRied1–2Lask LinzCup
14 MarRied2–1WSG WattensBundesliga
08 MarRied0–2Austria ViennaBundesliga
01 MarGrazer AK2–1RiedBundesliga
5Win36%
2Draw14%
6Lost43%
LAST MATCHESGrazer AK
04 AprGrazer AK2–1FC BW LinzBundesliga
21 MarWSG Wattens1–5Grazer AKBundesliga
14 MarGrazer AK2–0Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
08 MarWSG Wattens2–0Grazer AKBundesliga
01 MarGrazer AK2–1RiedBundesliga
21 FebTSV Hartberg1–0Grazer AKBundesliga
6Win46%
4Draw31%
3Lost23%
Lineups
ConfirmedRied4-2-3-1Confirmed
5Nikki HavenaarDEF
17Philipp PomerDEF
30Oliver SteurerDEF
23Michael SollbauerDEF
7Kingstone MutandwaFWD
1Andreas LeitnerGK
29Antonio Van WykMID
19Yussef NasraweMID
6Yusuf MaartMID
12Ante BajićMID
28Nicolas BajliczMID
Substitutes
3Jonathan ScherzerDEF
25Dominik KirnbauerDEF
13Peter KiedlFWD
15Joris BoguoFWD
36Marcel KostenbauerGK
47Evan EghosaMID
26Jonas MayerMID
8Martin RasnerMID
24Christopher WernitznigMID
Grazer AK3-1-4-2Confirmed
2Donovan PinesDEF
3Ludwig Vraa-JensenDEF
82Beres OwusuDEF
22Ramiz HarakateFWD
25Alexander HofleitnerFWD
12Franz StolzGK
6Mathias OlesenMID
32Leon KlassenMID
10Christian LichtenbergerMID
8Tobias KochMID
23Mukhran BagrationiMID
Substitutes
4Martin KreuzrieglerDEF
15Lukas GrafDEF
11Mark GroßeFWD
16Felix BaumgartnerFWD
28Dominik FrieserFWD
1Jakob MeierhoferGK
26Christoph NichtGK
24Tim PaumgartnerMID
7Murat SatinMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersRied
No reported absences
Grazer AK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Ried Win2.19 (42.8%)
Grazer AK Win3.38 (32.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.18 (47.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.65 (52.4%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (52.7%)
BTTS No1.83 (47.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.11 (24.7%)
