Rennes vs Nantes
Rennes
#5 · Ligue 1
WWWDL
2 - 1
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Referee: B. Bastien
Nantes
#17 · Ligue 1
LDDDL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Rennes will face Nantes in the Ligue 1 at Roazhon Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rennes has a 67.6% probability of winning this match. Nantes has a 13.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rennes have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Rennes sit 5th in the table, 12 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Rennes67.6%1.41
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%1.81
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
6.71
14.9%
1-0
7.03
14.3%
2-1
7.53
13.4%
1-1
8.30
12.1%
3-0
9.41
10.7%
3-1
10.31
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.41 | Draw 4.74 | Away 7.20 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.64 | Under 2.26 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.49 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.55 | Under 1.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.81 | No 1.93 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.09 | 12 1.17 | X2 2.82 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals79.1%
Over 2.5 Goals55%
Over 3.5 Goals36.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 | WLWWL |
| 2 |  Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 63 | DWLWL |
| 3 |  Lille | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 54 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Lyon | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 54 | WWDLD |
| 5 | Rennes | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Marseille | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 52 | LWLLW |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Nantes | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Metz | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 15 | LLDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRennesNantes
1.73Goals p.g.0.8
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.47
33%Clean sheets27%
53%Win rate13%
3.13Avg goals in match2.27
Recent Results
RennesLAST MATCHES
19 AprStrasbourg0–3RennesLigue 1
11 AprRennes2–1AngersLigue 1
04 AprStade Brestois 293–4RennesLigue 1
22 MarRennes0–0MetzLigue 1
15 MarRennes1–2LilleLigue 1
08 MarNice0–4RennesLigue 1
8Win53%
2Draw13%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESNantes
22 AprParis Saint Germain3–0NantesLigue 1
19 AprNantes1–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
11 AprAuxerre0–0NantesLigue 1
05 AprMetz0–0NantesLigue 1
22 MarNantes2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
07 MarNantes0–1AngersLigue 1
2Win13%
4Draw27%
9Lost60%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersRennes2
J. Jacquet
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
L. Rosier
Missing FixtureInjury
Nantes4
F. Coquelin
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
K. Amian
Missing FixtureInjury
R. Cabella
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
T. Tati
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Rennes Win1.41 (67.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (55%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.26 (45%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (52.3%)
BTTS No1.93 (47.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.74 (18.7%)
Nantes Win7.20 (13.8%)
