Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
#2 · Bundesliga
WWLWW
3 - 1
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Referee: H. Lechner
Austria Vienna
#4 · Bundesliga
LLLWL
★ OUR PICK
Red Bull Salzburg to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Austria Vienna make Red Bull Salzburg the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.64
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Red Bull Salzburg to Win. Our model calculates a 59.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Red Bull Salzburg will face Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Red Bull Salzburg has a 59.7% probability of winning this match. Austria Vienna has a 20% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Red Bull Salzburg are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Red Bull Salzburg59.7%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.9%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.60
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.49
13.5%
1-1
7.67
13.1%
1-0
8.28
12.1%
2-0
8.39
12%
3-1
10.89
9.3%
3-0
12.18
8.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.60 | Draw 4.10 | Away 4.89 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.58 | Under 2.32 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.68 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.40 | Under 1.52 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.19 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.16 | 12 1.20 | X2 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Over 2.5 Goals57.9%
Over 3.5 Goals38.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDWDW |
| 1 |  Ried | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 25 | WDDWL |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | WLWDL |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | DWWLD |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 20 | DDLWL |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 | LDLWL |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 | DDLWW |
| 6 |  Wolfsberger AC | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | DDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRed Bull SalzburgAustria Vienna
1.47Goals p.g.1.67
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.6
24%Clean sheets33%
47%Win rate40%
2.53Avg goals in match3.27
Recent Results
Red Bull SalzburgLAST MATCHES
22 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
19 AprAustria Vienna1–3Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
10 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–3Lask LinzBundesliga
05 AprTSV Hartberg1–2Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
26 MarRed Bull Salzburg1–0SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs
20 MarSturm Graz1–1Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
8Win47%
3Draw18%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESAustria Vienna
22 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
19 AprAustria Vienna1–3Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
05 AprLask Linz4–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
22 MarTSV Hartberg0–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
15 MarAustria Vienna2–5Sturm GrazBundesliga
08 MarRied0–2Austria ViennaBundesliga
6Win40%
2Draw13%
6Lost40%
Lineups
ConfirmedRed Bull Salzburg4-3-3Confirmed
37Tim TrummerDEF
13Frans KrätzigDEF
21Tim DrexlerDEF
44Jannik SchusterDEF
11Yorbe VertessenFWD
27Kerim AlajbegovićFWD
19Karim KonatéFWD
1Alexander SchlagerGK
8Sota KitanoMID
18Mads BidstrupMID
14Maurits KjaergaardMID
Substitutes
3Aleksa TerzićDEF
23Joane GadouDEF
91Anrie ChaseDEF
20Edmund BaidooFWD
43Enrique AguilarFWD
9Karim OnisiwoFWD
52Christian ZawieschitzkyGK
49Moussa Kounfolo YeoMID
5Soumaïla DiabatéMID
Austria Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
15Aleksandar DragovićDEF
28Philipp WiesingerDEF
46Johannes HandlDEF
14Kelvin BoatengFWD
16Lee Kang-heeFWD
36Vasilije MarkovicFWD
1Samuel Sahin-RadlingerGK
6Philipp MaybachMID
26Reinhold RanftlMID
17Lee Tae-seokMID
30Manfred FischerMID
Substitutes
40Matteo SchablasDEF
24Tin PlavotićDEF
60Dejan RadonjicDEF
47Kante AbdoulayeFWD
7Romeo VučićFWD
99Mirko KosGK
20Sanel SaljicMID
22Florian WustingerMID
37Daniel NnodimMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersRed Bull Salzburg
No reported absences
Austria Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Red Bull Salzburg Win1.60 (59.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.58 (57.9%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (58%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.32 (42.1%)
BTTS No2.19 (42%)
Speculative
Draw4.10 (20.3%)
Austria Vienna Win4.89 (20%)
