Real Sociedad vs Getafe
Real Sociedad
#8 · La Liga
DDWLW
0 - 1
Reale Arena, San Sebastian
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Getafe
#6 · La Liga
WWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.64
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Real Sociedad will face Getafe in the La Liga at Reale Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Real Sociedad has a 43.8% probability of winning this match. Getafe has a 30.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Getafe are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Real Sociedad average 2.0 goals per game
- Getafe have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Real Sociedad43.8%2.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.1%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.5%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.73
17.5%
1-0
5.90
17%
0-0
7.09
14.2%
0-1
7.97
12.6%
2-1
8.82
11.4%
2-0
9.38
10.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.21 | Draw 3.09 | Away 3.67 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.39 | Under 1.57 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.45 | Under 2.70 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.58 | Under 1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.03 | No 1.74 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.28 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.66 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.9%
Over 1.5 Goals64.9%
Over 2.5 Goals43.9%
Over 3.5 Goals20.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 | Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 42 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonReal SociedadGetafe
2Goals p.g.1.08
1.6Goals conceded p.g.0.69
27%Clean sheets38%
53%Win rate46%
3.6Avg goals in match1.77
Recent Results
Real SociedadLAST MATCHES
18 AprAtletico Madrid2–2Real SociedadCopa del Rey
11 AprReal Sociedad3–3AlavesLa Liga
04 AprReal Sociedad2–0LevanteLa Liga
20 MarVillarreal3–1Real SociedadLa Liga
15 MarReal Sociedad3–1OsasunaLa Liga
07 MarAtletico Madrid3–2Real SociedadLa Liga
8Win53%
4Draw27%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESGetafe
05 AprGetafe2–0Athletic ClubLa Liga
21 MarEspanyol1–2GetafeLa Liga
14 MarAtletico Madrid1–0GetafeLa Liga
08 MarGetafe2–0Real BetisLa Liga
02 MarReal Madrid0–1GetafeLa Liga
22 FebGetafe0–1SevillaLa Liga
6Win46%
3Draw23%
4Lost31%
Lineups
ConfirmedReal Sociedad4-4-2Confirmed
16Duje Caleta-CarDEF
3Aihen MuñozDEF
6Aritz ElustondoDEF
31Jon MartinDEF
14Takefusa KuboFWD
9Orri Steinn ÓskarssonFWD
1Álex RemiroGK
23Brais MéndezMID
18Carlos SolerMID
4Jon GorrotxategiMID
15Pablo MarínMID
Substitutes
38Luken BeitiaDEF
2Jon AramburuDEF
19Jon KarrikaburuFWD
22WesleyFWD
7Ander BarrenetxeaFWD
10Mikel OyarzabalFWD
13Unai MarreroGK
24Luka SučićMID
12Yangel HerreraMID
21Arsen ZakharyanMID
8Beñat TurrientesMID
46Ibai AguirreMID
Getafe5-4-1Confirmed
21Juan IglesiasDEF
17Kiko FemeníaDEF
3Abdelkabir AbqarDEF
2Djene DakonamDEF
15Sebastián BoselliDEF
19Luis VázquezFWD
13David SoriaGK
6Mario MartínMID
5Luis MillaMID
8Mauro ArambarriMID
10Martín SatrianoMID
Substitutes
12Allan NyomDEF
26DavinchiDEF
41Jorge MontesDEF
16Diego RicoDEF
18Álex SancrisFWD
11Abu KamaraFWD
23Adrian LisoFWD
35Jorge BenitoGK
1Jiří LetáčekGK
14Javi MunozMID
44Adrián RiquelmeMID
20Veljko BirmančevićMID
Unavailable Players
11 playersReal Sociedad7
A. Odriozola
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
A. Zakharyan
QuestionableStomach Disorder
G. Guedes
Missing FixtureToe Injury
I. Ruperez
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
I. Zubeldia
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
J. Ochieng
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Gomez
Missing FixtureRed Card
Getafe4
B. Mayoral
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Duarte
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Juanmi
Missing FixtureInjury
Z. Romero
Missing FixtureRed Card
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.57 (56.1%)
Value Bets
Real Sociedad Win2.21 (43.8%)
Draw3.09 (25.4%)
Getafe Win3.67 (30.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.39 (43.9%)
Both Teams Score2.03 (49.5%)
BTTS No1.74 (50.5%)
