Real Salt Lake vs San Diego
Real Salt Lake
#5 · Major League Soccer
WWDWW
4 - 2
America First Field
Referee: I. Elfath
San Diego
#9 · Major League Soccer
LLDLD
★ OUR PICK
Real Salt Lake to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over San Diego make Real Salt Lake the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.99
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Real Salt Lake to Win. Our model calculates a 60.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Real Salt Lake will face San Diego in the Major League Soccer at America First Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Real Salt Lake has a 60.4% probability of winning this match. San Diego has a 20.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Real Salt Lake are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- San Diego average 2.0 goals per game
- San Diego have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Real Salt Lake60.4%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.567.8%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes65.6%1.47
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.77
13%
1-1
8.74
11.5%
2-0
9.54
10.6%
3-1
10.15
10%
1-0
10.51
9.6%
2-2
11.78
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.59 | Draw 4.48 | Away 4.76 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.40 | Under 2.86 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 6.26 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.02 | Under 1.77 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.47 | No 2.54 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.16 | 12 1.17 | X2 2.36 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94%
Over 1.5 Goals84.9%
Over 2.5 Goals67.8%
Over 3.5 Goals46.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 9 | San Diego | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 11 | LLLDD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonReal Salt LakeSan Diego
1.93Goals p.g.2
1.64Goals conceded p.g.1.53
0%Clean sheets40%
50%Win rate53%
3.57Avg goals in match3.53
Recent Results
Real Salt LakeLAST MATCHES
19 AprReal Salt Lake4–2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
04 AprReal Salt Lake3–1Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarSan Diego2–2Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
15 MarReal Salt Lake2–1AustinMajor League Soccer
08 MarAtlanta United FC2–3Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
01 MarReal Salt Lake2–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
7Win50%
4Draw29%
3Lost21%
LAST MATCHESSan Diego
19 AprReal Salt Lake4–2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
05 AprSan Jose Earthquakes3–0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
22 MarSan Diego2–2Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
19 MarToluca4–0San DiegoCONCACAF Champions League
15 MarFC Dallas3–3San DiegoMajor League Soccer
12 MarSan Diego3–2TolucaCONCACAF Champions League
8Win53%
2Draw13%
5Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedReal Salt Lake5-4-1Confirmed
72Zavier GozoDEF
26Philip QuintonDEF
15Justen GladDEF
4Lukas EngelDEF
98Alexandros KatranisDEF
22Sergi SolansFWD
1Rafael CabralGK
10Diego LunaMID
6Stijn SpieringsMID
92Noel CaliskanMID
9Morgan GuilavoguiMID
Substitutes
29Sam JunquaDEF
2DeAndre YedlinDEF
11Dominik MarczukFWD
39Aiden HezarkhaniFWD
17Victor OlatunjiFWD
31Mason StajduharGK
23Zach BoothMID
27Griffin DillonMID
7Pablo RuízMID
San Diego4-3-3Confirmed
21Bryce DukeDEF
33Oscar VerhoevenDEF
26Manu DuahDEF
17Osvald SoeDEF
9Lewis MorganFWD
10Anders DreyerFWD
7Marcus IngvartsenFWD
18Duran FerreeGK
8Onni ValakariMID
6Jeppe TverskovMID
20Anibal GodoyMID
Substitutes
29Anisse SaidiFWD
90Amahl PellegrinoFWD
77Alex MightenFWD
14Bryan ZambléFWD
1CJ dos SantosGK
15Pedro SomaMID
19David VazquezMID
24Emmanuel BoatengMID
Unavailable Players
20 playersReal Salt Lake10
A. Hezarkhani
QuestionableGroin Injury
A. Piol
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
D. Yedlin
QuestionableMuscle Injury
E. Eneli
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Barea
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. J. Arias
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
J. Sanabria
Missing FixtureInactive
K. Henry
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
T. Wolff
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
Z. Booth
QuestionableKnee Injury
San Diego10
A. Alvarado Jr
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
A. Pellegrino
QuestionableLower-Body Injury
A. Reyes
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
C. McVey
Missing FixtureRed Card
I. Pilcher
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
K. Sargeant
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
L. Bombino
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
P. Sisniega
Missing FixtureBack Injury
W. Eisner
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
W. Kumado
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Real Salt Lake Win1.59 (60.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.40 (67.8%)
Both Teams Score1.47 (65.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.86 (32.2%)
BTTS No2.54 (34.4%)
Speculative
Draw4.48 (18.9%)
San Diego Win4.76 (20.7%)
