Real Salt Lake vs Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
#5 · Major League Soccer
WWDWW
0 - 2
America First Field
Referee: P. Lauziere
Inter Miami
#2 · Major League Soccer
WDDWD
★ OUR PICK
Real Salt Lake to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Inter Miami make Real Salt Lake the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.10
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.06 for Real Salt Lake to Win. Our model calculates a 47.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Real Salt Lake will face Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer at America First Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Real Salt Lake has a 47.2% probability of winning this match. Inter Miami has a 32.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Real Salt Lake are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Real Salt Lake47.2%2.06
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.9%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes67.4%1.39
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.79
12.9%
2-1
8.53
11.8%
2-2
10.08
10%
1-2
10.23
9.9%
1-0
11.84
8.6%
2-0
12.91
7.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.06 | Draw 3.95 | Away 3.03 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.42 | Under 2.78 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 6.13 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.06 | Under 1.74 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.39 | No 2.80 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.35 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.72 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.6%
Over 1.5 Goals84.6%
Over 2.5 Goals66.9%
Over 3.5 Goals45.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonReal Salt LakeInter Miami
1.93Goals p.g.1.94
1.64Goals conceded p.g.1.5
0%Clean sheets12%
50%Win rate50%
3.57Avg goals in match3.44
Recent Results
Real Salt LakeLAST MATCHES
19 AprReal Salt Lake4–2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
04 AprReal Salt Lake3–1Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarSan Diego2–2Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
15 MarReal Salt Lake2–1AustinMajor League Soccer
08 MarAtlanta United FC2–3Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
01 MarReal Salt Lake2–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
7Win50%
4Draw29%
3Lost21%
LAST MATCHESInter Miami
18 AprColorado Rapids2–3Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
11 AprInter Miami2–2New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
04 AprInter Miami2–2AustinMajor League Soccer
22 MarNew York City FC2–3Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
18 MarInter Miami1–1Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
14 MarCharlotte0–0Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
8Win50%
6Draw38%
2Lost13%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
13 playersReal Salt Lake9
A. Piol
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
E. Eneli
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Barea
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. J. Arias
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
J. Sanabria
QuestionableInactive
K. Henry
QuestionableMuscle Injury
O. Anderson
QuestionableInjury
P. Quinton
QuestionableLeg Injury
T. Wolff
QuestionableShoulder Injury
Inter Miami4
D. Ayala
QuestionableGroin Injury
M. Silvetti
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
S. Reguilon
QuestionableHamstring Injury
Y. Bright
Missing FixtureRed Card
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (66.9%)
Both Teams Score1.39 (67.4%)
Value Bets
Real Salt Lake Win2.06 (47.2%)
Inter Miami Win3.03 (32.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.78 (33.1%)
BTTS No2.80 (32.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.95 (20.6%)
