Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Real Betis
#5 · La Liga
DDLWD
1 - 1
Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Real Madrid
#2 · La Liga
DLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Real Madrid to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over Real Betis make Real Madrid the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.92
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.88 for Real Madrid to Win. Our model calculates a 45.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Real Betis will face Real Madrid in the La Liga at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Real Betis has a 33.5% probability of winning this match. Real Madrid has a 45.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.8%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Real Madrid45.7%1.88
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.5%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%1.46
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.58
13.2%
1-2
7.97
12.6%
0-1
10.28
9.7%
2-2
11.01
9.1%
0-2
11.03
9.1%
2-1
11.32
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.73 | Draw 4.03 | Away 1.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.58 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.48 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.23 | Under 1.66 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.46 | No 2.57 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.93 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.27 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.3%
Over 1.5 Goals82.9%
Over 2.5 Goals59.5%
Over 3.5 Goals42.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonReal BetisReal Madrid
1.12Goals p.g.1.94
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1.18
19%Clean sheets24%
31%Win rate65%
2.5Avg goals in match3.12
Recent Results
Real BetisLAST MATCHES
08 AprSC Braga1–1Real BetisUEFA Europa League
04 AprReal Betis0–0EspanyolLa Liga
22 MarAthletic Club2–1Real BetisLa Liga
19 MarReal Betis4–0PanathinaikosUEFA Europa League
15 MarReal Betis1–1Celta VigoLa Liga
12 MarPanathinaikos1–0Real BetisUEFA Europa League
5Win31%
5Draw31%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESReal Madrid
10 AprReal Madrid1–1GironaLa Liga
07 AprReal Madrid1–2Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
04 AprMallorca2–1Real MadridLa Liga
22 MarReal Madrid3–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
17 MarManchester City1–2Real MadridUEFA Champions League
14 MarReal Madrid4–1ElcheLa Liga
11Win65%
1Draw6%
5Lost29%
Lineups
ConfirmedReal Betis4-2-3-1Confirmed
12Ricardo RodríguezDEF
4NatanDEF
2Hector BellerinDEF
5Marc BartraDEF
11Cedric BakambuFWD
1Álvaro VallesGK
10Abdessamad EzzalzouliMID
8Pablo FornalsMID
7AntonyMID
14Sofyan AmrabatMID
15Álvaro FidalgoMID
Substitutes
16Valentín GómezDEF
3Diego LlorenteDEF
9Chimy ÁvilaFWD
24Aitor RuibalFWD
19Cucho HernándezFWD
25Pau LopezGK
20Giovani Lo CelsoMID
6Sergi AltimiraMID
18Nelson DeossaMID
21Marc RocaMID
17Rodrigo RiquelmeMID
22IscoMID
Real Madrid4-2-3-1Confirmed
12Trent Alexander-ArnoldDEF
23Ferland MendyDEF
24Dean HuijsenDEF
22Antonio RudigerDEF
10Kylian MbappéFWD
13Andriy LuninGK
8Federico ValverdeMID
45Thiago PitarchMID
21Brahim DíazMID
5Jude BellinghamMID
7Vinicius JúniorMID
Substitutes
4David AlabaDEF
2Dani CarvajalDEF
17Raúl AsencioDEF
20Fran GarcíaDEF
27Diego AguadoDEF
18Álvaro CarrerasDEF
16Gonzalo GarcíaFWD
30Franco MastantuonoFWD
29Javier Navarro JimenezGK
6Eduardo CamavingaMID
28Jorge CesteroMID
37Manuel Ángel MoránMID
Unavailable Players
9 playersReal Betis3
A. Ortiz
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
D. Llorente
QuestionableAnkle Injury
J. Firpo
Missing FixtureInjury
Real Madrid6
A. Guler
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
A. Tchouameni
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Eder Militao
Missing FixtureInjury
R. Asencio
QuestionableIllness
Rodrygo
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
T. Courtois
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.48 (59.5%)
Both Teams Score1.46 (60.4%)
Value Bets
Real Betis Win3.73 (33.5%)
Real Madrid Win1.88 (45.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.58 (40.5%)
BTTS No2.57 (39.6%)
Speculative
Draw4.03 (20.8%)
