RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
#8 · Serie A
WWLLW
0 - 1
Palmeiras
#1 · Serie A
WWDDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , RB Bragantino will face Palmeiras in the Serie A.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that RB Bragantino has a 35.3% probability of winning this match. Palmeiras has a 40.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- RB Bragantino have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Palmeiras have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Palmeiras have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Palmeiras40.2%2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.5%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.85
17.1%
0-1
7.11
14.1%
1-0
8.08
12.4%
0-0
8.40
11.9%
1-2
8.87
11.4%
2-1
10.05
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.96 | Draw 3.19 | Away 2.38 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.09 | Under 1.72 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.34 | Under 3.12 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.76 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.79 | No 1.93 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.55 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.36 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89%
Over 1.5 Goals69.9%
Over 2.5 Goals44.5%
Over 3.5 Goals24.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 29 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 | WWWLD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 4 |  Sao Paulo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 20 | LLWDL |
| 5 |  Bahia | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Atletico Paranaense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 19 | LWLLW |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | LDDLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRB BragantinoPalmeiras
1.26Goals p.g.1.79
1.11Goals conceded p.g.0.68
32%Clean sheets37%
37%Win rate79%
2.37Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
RB BragantinoLAST MATCHES
19 AprRB Bragantino4–2RemoSerie A
17 AprRB Bragantino3–2BloomingCONMEBOL Sudamericana
12 AprCruzeiro2–1RB BragantinoSerie A
10 AprCarabobo FC1–0RB BragantinoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
05 AprMirassol0–1RB BragantinoSerie A
03 AprRB Bragantino3–0FlamengoSerie A
7Win37%
5Draw26%
7Lost37%
LAST MATCHESPalmeiras
19 AprPalmeiras1–0Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
16 AprPalmeiras2–1Sporting CristalCONMEBOL Libertadores
12 AprCorinthians0–0PalmeirasSerie A
09 AprJunior1–1PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores
05 AprBahia1–2PalmeirasSerie A
03 AprPalmeiras2–1GremioSerie A
15Win79%
3Draw16%
1Lost5%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRB Bragantino
No reported absences
Palmeiras
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (55.5%)
Value Bets
RB Bragantino Win2.96 (35.3%)
Palmeiras Win2.38 (40.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.09 (44.5%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (50.2%)
BTTS No1.93 (49.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.19 (24.5%)
