Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
#5 · Bundesliga
LDLWW
0 - 2
Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Referee: S. Ebner
TSV Hartberg
#6 · Bundesliga
WDLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
2.02
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.87 (implied 53.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.7% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.83. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Rapid Vienna will face TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga at Allianz Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rapid Vienna has a 49.9% probability of winning this match. TSV Hartberg has a 27.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- TSV Hartberg have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- TSV Hartberg have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Rapid Vienna49.9%1.69
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.7%1.87
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.7%1.89
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.43
15.6%
1-1
6.71
15%
2-0
7.45
13.5%
2-1
7.62
13.2%
0-0
9.96
10.2%
0-1
11.83
8.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.69 | Draw 3.68 | Away 4.77 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.89 | Under 1.87 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.47 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.23 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.81 | No 1.89 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.24 | X2 2.11 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals73.1%
Over 2.5 Goals45.3%
Over 3.5 Goals28.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDWDW |
| 1 |  Ried | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 25 | WDDWL |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | WLWDL |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | DWWLD |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 20 | DDLWL |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 | DDLWW |
| 6 |  Wolfsberger AC | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | DDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRapid ViennaTSV Hartberg
1.2Goals p.g.1.4
1.2Goals conceded p.g.0.67
27%Clean sheets47%
40%Win rate47%
2.4Avg goals in match2.07
Recent Results
Rapid ViennaLAST MATCHES
22 AprRapid Vienna0–1TSV HartbergBundesliga
19 AprTSV Hartberg2–2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
05 AprRapid Vienna0–2Sturm GrazBundesliga
22 MarRapid Vienna4–2Lask LinzBundesliga
15 MarRed Bull Salzburg0–1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
08 MarRapid Vienna1–0Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
6Win40%
3Draw20%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESTSV Hartberg
22 AprRapid Vienna0–1TSV HartbergBundesliga
19 AprTSV Hartberg2–2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
05 AprTSV Hartberg1–2Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
22 MarTSV Hartberg0–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
13 MarLask Linz0–0TSV HartbergBundesliga
08 MarTSV Hartberg1–1FC BW LinzBundesliga
7Win47%
6Draw40%
2Lost13%
Lineups
ConfirmedRapid Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
20Kouadio Ange AhoussouDEF
6Serge-Philippe Raux-YaoDEF
55Nenad CvetkovićDEF
10Petter Nosakhare DahlFWD
26Andreas WeimannFWD
9Ercan KaraFWD
1Niklas HedlGK
15Nikolaus WurmbrandMID
29Romeo AmaneMID
18Matthias SeidlMID
77Bendegúz BollaMID
Substitutes
23Jonas Antonius AuerDEF
61Furkan DemirDEF
4Jakob SchöllerDEF
22Yusuf DemirFWD
7Marco TilioFWD
90Janis AntisteFWD
25Paul GartlerGK
8Lukas GrgićMID
17Tobias Fjeld GulliksenMID
TSV Hartberg5-4-1Confirmed
2Luca PazourekDEF
28Jurgen HeilDEF
95Damjan KovačevićDEF
19Lukas SpendlhoferDEF
6Habib Anas CoulibalyDEF
30Lukas FridrikasFWD
40Tom HülsmannGK
22Marco HoffmannMID
18Fabian WilfingerMID
4Benjamin MarkušMID
23Tobias KainzMID
Substitutes
25Emmanuel OjukwuDEF
33Maximilian HennigDEF
16Julian GöllesDEF
7Elias HavelFWD
61Musibau AzizFWD
77David KorherrFWD
1Ammar HelacGK
8Julian HalwachsMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersRapid Vienna
No reported absences
TSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Rapid Vienna Win1.69 (49.9%)
TSV Hartberg Win4.77 (27.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.89 (45.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.87 (54.7%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (48.3%)
BTTS No1.89 (51.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.68 (22.5%)
