Racing Club vs Barracas Central
Racing Club
#4 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DLWLW
1 - 1
Estadio Presidente Perón, Buenos Aires
Referee: Pablo Echavarria, Argentina
Barracas Central
#13 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DDDLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.65
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 (implied 62.3%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 63.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.58. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Racing Club will face Barracas Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Presidente Perón.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Racing Club has a 60.3% probability of winning this match. Barracas Central has a 17.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Racing Club sit 4th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Racing Club60.3%1.46
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.563.2%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No61.9%1.51
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
4.68
21.4%
2-0
5.54
18.1%
0-0
7.49
13.5%
1-1
7.54
13.4%
2-1
8.41
12%
3-0
9.22
10.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.46 | Draw 3.92 | Away 7.85 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.29 | Under 1.61 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.41 | Under 2.78 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.38 | Under 1.19 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.43 | No 1.51 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.08 | 12 1.22 | X2 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.6%
Over 1.5 Goals66.3%
Over 2.5 Goals36.8%
Over 3.5 Goals21.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 | Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 13 | Barracas Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | DWLDW | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRacing ClubBarracas Central
1.29Goals p.g.0.81
0.94Goals conceded p.g.0.81
35%Clean sheets38%
41%Win rate25%
2.24Avg goals in match1.62
Recent Results
Racing ClubLAST MATCHES
19 AprAldosivi1–1Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
15 AprRacing Club2–3BotafogoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
07 AprIndependiente Petrolero1–3Racing ClubCONMEBOL Sudamericana
04 AprIndependiente1–0Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
29 MarRacing Club1–0San Martin FormosaCopa Argentina
22 MarBelgrano Cordoba1–2Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
7Win41%
4Draw24%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESBarracas Central
20 AprBarracas Central0–0Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
16 AprOlimpia0–0Barracas CentralCONMEBOL Sudamericana
07 AprBarracas Central0–0Vasco DA GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana
02 AprBarracas Central1–2Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
24 MarHuracan0–0Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
16 MarBarracas Central2–1Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
4Win25%
8Draw50%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRacing Club
No reported absences
Barracas Central
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Racing Club Win1.46 (60.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.61 (63.2%)
BTTS No1.51 (61.9%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.29 (36.8%)
Both Teams Score2.43 (38.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.92 (22.1%)
Barracas Central Win7.85 (17.7%)
