Platense vs San Lorenzo
Platense
#18 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWLDL
0 - 1
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida
Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo, Argentina
San Lorenzo
#16 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DWDWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.54
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 63.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Platense will face San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Platense has a 37.4% probability of winning this match. San Lorenzo has a 34.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 28.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- San Lorenzo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- San Lorenzo have a solid defence with 0.8 goals conceded per game
- Platense have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- San Lorenzo have kept clean sheets in 59% of their matches
- Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Platense37.4%2.46
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.571.6%1.33
Both Teams to Score
No63.3%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-0
5.08
19.8%
1-0
5.19
19.3%
1-1
5.59
17.9%
0-1
6.34
15.8%
2-0
9.76
10.4%
2-1
10.37
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.46 | Draw 2.75 | Away 3.34 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 3.18 | Under 1.33 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.70 | Under 2.12 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 6.82 | Under 1.09 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.41 | No 1.51 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.31 | 12 1.40 | X2 1.52 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals82.2%
Over 1.5 Goals55.5%
Over 2.5 Goals28.4%
Over 3.5 Goals13.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 16 | San Lorenzo | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | DDWDL | |||
| 18 | Platense | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | LDDLL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonPlatenseSan Lorenzo
0.75Goals p.g.1.18
0.88Goals conceded p.g.0.76
44%Clean sheets59%
31%Win rate35%
1.62Avg goals in match1.94
Recent Results
PlatenseLAST MATCHES
20 AprCentral Cordoba de Santiago4–3PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
17 AprPenarol1–2PlatenseCONMEBOL Libertadores
10 AprPlatense0–2CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores
01 AprLanus0–0PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
23 MarArgentinos JRS1–0PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
14 MarPlatense0–2Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
5Win31%
6Draw38%
5Lost31%
LAST MATCHESSan Lorenzo
20 AprSan Lorenzo0–0Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
17 AprSan Lorenzo2–0Deportivo CuencaCONMEBOL Sudamericana
08 AprDeportivo Recoleta1–1San LorenzoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
03 AprSan Lorenzo1–0Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
25 MarDeportivo Riestra1–1San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarSan Lorenzo5–0Deportivo RinconCopa Argentina
6Win35%
8Draw47%
3Lost18%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPlatense
No reported absences
San Lorenzo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.33 (71.6%)
BTTS No1.51 (63.3%)
Value Bets
Platense Win2.46 (37.4%)
Draw2.75 (28.3%)
San Lorenzo Win3.34 (34.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals3.18 (28.4%)
Both Teams Score2.41 (36.7%)
