Philadelphia Union vs DC United
Philadelphia Union
#13 · Major League Soccer
DWLLD
0 - 0
Subaru Park
Referee: L. Hernandez
DC United
#9 · Major League Soccer
DDLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.93
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Philadelphia Union will face DC United in the Major League Soccer at Subaru Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Philadelphia Union has a 54.3% probability of winning this match. DC United has a 22.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.9%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Philadelphia Union54.3%1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.5%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.9%1.84
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.99
16.7%
1-1
6.26
16%
2-0
7.58
13.3%
2-1
7.72
13%
0-0
8.72
11.5%
0-1
10.54
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.77 | Draw 3.50 | Away 4.62 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.05 | Under 1.77 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.22 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.64 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.88 | No 1.84 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.18 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.98 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.2%
Over 1.5 Goals70.7%
Over 2.5 Goals45.5%
Over 3.5 Goals25.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 9 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonPhiladelphia UnionDC United
1.69Goals p.g.0.5
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.44
31%Clean sheets31%
31%Win rate12%
2.94Avg goals in match1.94
Recent Results
Philadelphia UnionLAST MATCHES
18 AprPhiladelphia Union0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
11 AprCF Montreal1–2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
04 AprCharlotte2–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
21 MarPhiladelphia Union1–2Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
19 MarClub America1–1Philadelphia UnionCONCACAF Champions League
14 MarAtlanta United FC3–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%
LAST MATCHESDC United
18 AprPhiladelphia Union0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
15 AprDC United2–2One KnoxvilleUS Open Cup
11 AprNew England Revolution1–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
04 AprDC United0–4FC DallasMajor League Soccer
21 MarAtlanta United FC0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
15 MarChicago Fire1–2DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
2Win13%
6Draw38%
7Lost44%
Lineups
ConfirmedPhiladelphia Union4-4-2Confirmed
26Nathan HarrielDEF
39Frankie WestfieldDEF
29Olwethu MakhanyaDEF
5Japhet Sery LarsenDEF
9Bruno DamianiFWD
23Ezekiel AlladohFWD
18Andre BlakeGK
19Indiana VassilevMID
8Jesus BuenoMID
10Milan IloskiMID
4Jovan LukićMID
Substitutes
20Philippe NdingaDEF
2Geiner MartínezDEF
51Malik JakupovicFWD
76Andrew RickGK
11Alejandro BedoyaMID
21Danley Jean JacquesMID
16Ben BenderMID
14Jeremy RafanelloMID
6Cavan SullivanMID
DC United4-4-2Confirmed
5Silvan HeftiDEF
6Keisuke KurokawaDEF
15Kye RowlesDEF
3Lucas BartlettDEF
9Tai BariboFWD
25Jackson HopkinsFWD
1Sean JohnsonGK
4Matti PeltolaMID
27Nikola MarkovicMID
7João PeglowMID
22Aaron HerreraMID
Substitutes
12Conner AntleyDEF
17Jacob MurrellFWD
24Jordan FarrGK
26Alex BonoGK
30Caden ClarkMID
48Gavin TurnerMID
77Hosei KijimaMID
23Brandon ServaniaMID
8Jared StroudMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersPhiladelphia Union3
A. Anello
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Q. Sullivan
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
S. Olivas
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
DC United4
G. Segal
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
H. Karamoko
Missing FixtureIllness
S. Nealis
Missing FixtureInjury
T. Baribo
QuestionableInjury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Philadelphia Union Win1.77 (54.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.05 (45.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.77 (54.5%)
Both Teams Score1.88 (48.1%)
BTTS No1.84 (51.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.50 (22.9%)
DC United Win4.62 (22.8%)
