Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
#10 · A-League
DDDLD
2 - 1
HBF Park, Perth
Referee: T. Danaskos
Brisbane Roar
#11 · A-League
LDDLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Perth Glory will face Brisbane Roar in the A-League at HBF Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Perth Glory has a 45.6% probability of winning this match. Brisbane Roar has a 31.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Perth Glory45.6%2.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.2%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.1%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.36
15.8%
2-1
8.48
11.9%
1-0
8.68
11.6%
1-2
9.57
10.6%
0-1
9.69
10.4%
0-0
11.58
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.34 | Draw 3.46 | Away 2.84 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.77 | Under 2.03 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 3.90 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.83 | Under 1.39 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.21 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.40 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.56 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals76.1%
Over 2.5 Goals54.2%
Over 3.5 Goals33%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newcastle Jets | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 45 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Auckland | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 40 | WDDWD |
| 4 |  Sydney | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 38 | DWDLL |
| 5 |  Melbourne City | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Melbourne Victory | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 37 | DDLWW |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 | DWDDL |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26 | LDDLD |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 21 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPerth GloryBrisbane Roar
1.21Goals p.g.1.07
1.71Goals conceded p.g.1.79
14%Clean sheets7%
14%Win rate7%
2.93Avg goals in match2.86
Recent Results
Perth GloryLAST MATCHES
18 AprSydney0–0Perth GloryA-League
04 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Perth GloryA-League
22 MarPerth Glory1–1Melbourne CityA-League
14 MarWellington Phoenix2–0Perth GloryA-League
08 MarAuckland2–2Perth GloryA-League
28 FebBrisbane Roar1–1Perth GloryA-League
2Win14%
6Draw43%
6Lost43%
LAST MATCHESBrisbane Roar
18 AprBrisbane Roar2–3Melbourne CityA-League
10 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Brisbane RoarA-League
02 AprBrisbane Roar0–0SydneyA-League
21 MarBrisbane Roar1–2Wellington PhoenixA-League
13 MarBrisbane Roar2–2Western Sydney WanderersA-League
28 FebBrisbane Roar1–1Perth GloryA-League
1Win7%
5Draw36%
8Lost57%
Lineups
ConfirmedPerth Glory4-4-2Confirmed
3Sam SuttonDEF
4Scott WoottonDEF
2Charbel ShamoonDEF
45Brian KaltakDEF
16Gabriel PopovicFWD
25Sebastian DespotovskiFWD
29Matthew SuttonGK
7Nicholas PenningtonMID
27William FreneyMID
39Giovanni De AbreuMID
9Jaiden KucharskiMID
Substitutes
19Josh RisdonDEF
24Andriano LebibDEF
67Stefan ColakovskiFWD
22Adam TaggartFWD
17Arion SulemaniFWD
23Anthony DidulicaFWD
40Ryan WarnerGK
Brisbane Roar4-4-2Confirmed
5Marius LodeDEF
16Matt DenchDEF
3Dimitrios ValkanisDEF
2Youstin SalasDEF
19Michael RuhsFWD
17Justin VidicFWD
1Dean BouzanisGK
13Henry HoreMID
31Noah MaieroniMID
8Samuel KleinMID
44Jordan LautonMID
Substitutes
6Austin LudwikDEF
35Mikael Evagorou-AlaoDEF
27Ben HalloranFWD
10Georgios VrakasFWD
11Macklin FrekeGK
39Niall ThomMID
26Jay O'SheaMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersPerth Glory
No reported absences
Brisbane Roar
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.61 (58.1%)
Value Bets
Perth Glory Win2.34 (45.6%)
Brisbane Roar Win2.84 (31.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.77 (54.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.03 (45.8%)
BTTS No2.21 (41.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.46 (23%)