Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · Ligue 1
WLWWW
3 - 0
Parc des Princes, Paris
Referee: C. Turpin
Nantes
#17 · Ligue 1
LDDDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.87
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 51.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Paris Saint Germain will face Nantes in the Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Paris Saint Germain has a 77.9% probability of winning this match. Nantes has a 8.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 13.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Paris Saint Germain are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table, 16 places above their opponents
- Paris Saint Germain average 2.4 goals per game
- Paris Saint Germain have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Paris Saint Germain77.9%1.17
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.565.1%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes3-0
7.61
13.2%
2-0
7.66
13.1%
2-1
9.34
10.8%
3-1
9.43
10.7%
4-0
9.85
10.2%
1-0
10.78
9.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.17 | Draw 7.82 | Away 14.23 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.49 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.06 | Under 7.91 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.76 | Under 2.07 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.77 | No 1.97 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.03 | 12 1.08 | X2 4.82 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.9%
Over 1.5 Goals88.1%
Over 2.5 Goals65.1%
Over 3.5 Goals54%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 | WLWWL |
| 2 |  Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 63 | DWLWL |
| 3 |  Lille | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 54 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Lyon | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 54 | WWDLD |
| 5 |  Rennes | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Marseille | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 52 | LWLLW |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Nantes | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Metz | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 15 | LLDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonParis Saint GermainNantes
2.39Goals p.g.0.8
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.47
50%Clean sheets27%
72%Win rate13%
3.33Avg goals in match2.27
Recent Results
Paris Saint GermainLAST MATCHES
22 AprParis Saint Germain3–0NantesLigue 1
19 AprParis Saint Germain1–2LyonLigue 1
14 AprLiverpool0–2Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
08 AprParis Saint Germain2–0LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
03 AprParis Saint Germain3–1ToulouseLigue 1
21 MarNice0–4Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
13Win72%
2Draw11%
3Lost17%
LAST MATCHESNantes
22 AprParis Saint Germain3–0NantesLigue 1
19 AprNantes1–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
11 AprAuxerre0–0NantesLigue 1
05 AprMetz0–0NantesLigue 1
22 MarNantes2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
07 MarNantes0–1AngersLigue 1
2Win13%
4Draw27%
9Lost60%
Lineups
ConfirmedParis Saint Germain4-3-3Confirmed
2Achraf HakimiDEF
33Warren Zaïre-EmeryDEF
5MarquinhosDEF
6Ilya ZabarnyiDEF
7Khvicha KvaratskheliaFWD
14Désiré DouéFWD
10Ousmane DembéléFWD
39Matvey SafonovGK
4Lucas BeraldoMID
27Dro FernándezMID
87João NevesMID
Substitutes
51Willian PachoDEF
21Lucas HernandezDEF
29Bradley BarcolaFWD
9Gonçalo RamosFWD
49Ibrahim MbayeFWD
30Lucas ChevalierGK
8Fabián RuizMID
19Kang-in LeeMID
24Senny MayuluMID
Nantes4-1-4-1Confirmed
2Ali YoussefDEF
27Deiver MachadoDEF
3Nicolas CozzaDEF
24Frederic GuilbertDEF
31Mostafa MohamedFWD
1Anthony LopesGK
66Louis LerouxMID
10Matthis AblineMID
8Johann LepenantMID
28Ibrahima SissokoMID
22Mathieu AcapandiéMID
Substitutes
72Sékou DoucoureDEF
6Chidozie AwaziemDEF
26Uros RadakovicDEF
11Bahereba GuirassyFWD
19Youssef El ArabiFWD
37Ignatius GanagoFWD
30Patrik CarlgrenGK
52Bahmed DeuffMID
17Dehmaine TabibouMID
Unavailable Players
10 playersParis Saint Germain3
N. Mendes
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Q. Ndjantou
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Vitinha
Missing FixtureHeel Injury
Nantes7
D. Tabibou
Missing FixtureRed Card
F. Centonze
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
F. Coquelin
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
K. Amian
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Kaba
Missing FixtureInjury
R. Cabella
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
T. Tati
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Paris Saint Germain Win1.17 (77.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.28 (65.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.49 (34.9%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (51.5%)
BTTS No1.97 (48.5%)
Speculative
Draw7.82 (13.6%)
Nantes Win14.23 (8.5%)
