Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MXClausura - 17

Pachuca

#3 · Liga MX

LWWWD

0 - 2

Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

#2 · Liga MX

WWWDW

44.6%

Home Win

22.6%

Draw

32.8%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.62

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Pachuca will face U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Pachuca has a 44.6% probability of winning this match. U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a 32.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Pachuca have won 3 of their last 5 games
U.N.A.M. - Pumas are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas average 2.0 goals per game
With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Pachuca44.6%2.10

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.555.5%1.71

Both Teams to Score

Yes58.8%1.58

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.56

15.3%

2-1

8.02

12.5%

1-0

8.63

11.7%

1-2

10.41

9.7%

2-0

10.63

9.5%

0-1

10.93

9.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.10	Draw 3.52	Away 3.19
O/U 2.5	Over 1.71	Under 2.10
O/U 1.5	Over 1.21	Under 4.10
O/U 3.5	Over 2.73	Under 1.42
BTTS	Yes 1.58	No 2.24
Double Chance	1X 1.32	12 1.26	X2 1.69

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

91.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

77.2%

Over 2.5 Goals

55.5%

Over 3.5 Goals

34.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas

1.56Goals p.g.2

1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.25

19%Clean sheets38%

56%Win rate56%

2.62Avg goals in match3.25

Recent Results

PachucaLAST MATCHES

23 AprClub Tijuana3–1PachucaLiga MX

19 AprMonterrey1–3PachucaLiga MX

12 AprPachuca4–2Santos LagunaLiga MX

05 AprCruz Azul1–2PachucaLiga MX

22 MarPachuca1–1TolucaLiga MX

14 MarAtletico San Luis1–1PachucaLiga MX

9Win56%

4Draw25%

3Lost19%

LAST MATCHESU.N.A.M. - Pumas

22 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas4–2FC JuarezLiga MX

18 AprAtletico San Luis0–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

12 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas3–1MazatlánLiga MX

06 AprGuadalajara Chivas2–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

22 MarU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–0Club AmericaLiga MX

15 MarU.N.A.M. - Pumas2–2Cruz AzulLiga MX

9Win56%

5Draw31%

2Lost13%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Pachuca

No reported absences

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (55.5%)

Both Teams Score1.58 (58.8%)

●Value Bets

Pachuca Win2.10 (44.6%)

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win3.19 (32.8%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (44.5%)

BTTS No2.24 (41.2%)

●Speculative

Draw3.52 (22.6%)