Oviedo vs Villarreal
Oviedo
#20 · La Liga
WLWDL
1 - 1
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Referee: R. De Burgos
Villarreal
#3 · La Liga
WLWDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Oviedo will face Villarreal in the La Liga at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Oviedo has a 30.7% probability of winning this match. Villarreal has a 45.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Villarreal sit 3rd in the table, 17 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Villarreal45.6%2.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.8%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.76
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.07
16.5%
0-1
7.18
14%
1-2
8.28
12.1%
0-0
9.42
10.7%
0-2
9.66
10.4%
1-0
9.74
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.51 | Draw 3.33 | Away 2.11 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.99 | Under 1.84 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.31 | Under 3.37 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.38 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.76 | No 1.98 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.72 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.29 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90%
Over 1.5 Goals72%
Over 2.5 Goals50.8%
Over 3.5 Goals27.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 | Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonOviedoVillarreal
1.08Goals p.g.1.43
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.57
23%Clean sheets7%
23%Win rate43%
2.77Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
OviedoLAST MATCHES
05 AprOviedo1–0SevillaLa Liga
21 MarLevante4–2OviedoLa Liga
14 MarOviedo1–0ValenciaLa Liga
09 MarEspanyol1–1OviedoLa Liga
04 MarRayo Vallecano3–0OviedoLa Liga
28 FebOviedo0–1Atletico MadridLa Liga
3Win23%
4Draw31%
6Lost46%
LAST MATCHESVillarreal
12 AprAthletic Club1–2VillarrealLa Liga
06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga
20 MarVillarreal3–1Real SociedadLa Liga
13 MarAlaves1–1VillarrealLa Liga
08 MarVillarreal2–1ElcheLa Liga
28 FebBarcelona4–1VillarrealLa Liga
6Win43%
2Draw14%
6Lost43%
Lineups
ConfirmedOviedo4-4-2Confirmed
22Nacho VidalDEF
25Javi LópezDEF
12Dani CalvoDEF
2Eric BaillyDEF
9Federico ViñasFWD
5Alberto ReinaFWD
13Aaron EscandellGK
7Ilyas ChairaMID
6Kwasi SiboMID
11Santiago ColombattoMID
15Thiago FernándezMID
Substitutes
24Lucas AhijadoDEF
16David CarmoDEF
3Abdel RahimDEF
4David CostasDEF
17Thiago BorbasFWD
14Ovie EjariaFWD
10Haissem HassanFWD
26Miguel NarvaezGK
1Horațiu MoldovanGK
27Pablo AgudínMID
8Santi CazorlaMID
Villarreal4-4-2Confirmed
15Santiago MouriñoDEF
23Sergi CardonaDEF
12Renato VeigaDEF
6Pau NavarroDEF
19Nicolas PépéFWD
21Tani OluwaseyiFWD
25Arnau TenasGK
17Tajon BuchananMID
10Dani ParejoMID
18Pape GueyeMID
11Alfon GonzálezMID
Substitutes
5Willy KambwalaDEF
4Rafa MarínDEF
24Alfonso PedrazaDEF
3Alexander FreemanDEF
9Georges MikautadzeFWD
7Gerard MorenoFWD
22Ayoze PerezFWD
1Luiz JúniorGK
20Alberto MoleiroMID
16Thomas ParteyMID
38Alassane DiattaMID
Unavailable Players
9 playersOviedo4
A. Fores
Missing FixtureInjury
L. Dendoncker
Missing FixtureInjury
L. Ilic
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
N. Fonseca
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Villarreal5
J. Foyth
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
L. Costa
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
P. Cabanes
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Comesana
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
T. Partey
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.76 (55%)
Value Bets
Oviedo Win3.51 (30.7%)
Villarreal Win2.11 (45.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.99 (50.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.84 (49.2%)
BTTS No1.98 (45%)
Speculative
Draw3.33 (23.7%)
