Oviedo vs Elche
Oviedo
#20 · La Liga
WLWDL
1 - 2
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Elche
#16 · La Liga
DWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Oviedo will face Elche in the La Liga at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Oviedo has a 40% probability of winning this match. Elche has a 36.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Elche have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Oviedo40%2.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.4%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.02
16.7%
1-0
7.21
13.9%
0-1
8.53
11.8%
2-1
8.64
11.6%
0-0
9.06
11.1%
1-2
10.18
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.31 | Draw 3.41 | Away 3.01 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.04 | Under 1.79 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.32 | Under 3.23 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.57 | Under 1.27 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.80 | No 1.95 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.37 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.59 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.7%
Over 1.5 Goals70.9%
Over 2.5 Goals50.4%
Over 3.5 Goals26.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 16 | Elche | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 35 | WWLWL |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 | Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonOviedoElche
1.08Goals p.g.1.25
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.81
23%Clean sheets12%
23%Win rate19%
2.77Avg goals in match3.06
Recent Results
OviedoLAST MATCHES
05 AprOviedo1–0SevillaLa Liga
21 MarLevante4–2OviedoLa Liga
14 MarOviedo1–0ValenciaLa Liga
09 MarEspanyol1–1OviedoLa Liga
04 MarRayo Vallecano3–0OviedoLa Liga
28 FebOviedo0–1Atletico MadridLa Liga
3Win23%
4Draw31%
6Lost46%
LAST MATCHESElche
22 AprElche2–2Atletico MadridLa Liga
11 AprElche1–0ValenciaLa Liga
03 AprRayo Vallecano1–0ElcheLa Liga
27 MarAston Villa1–2ElcheFriendlies Clubs
21 MarElche2–1MallorcaLa Liga
14 MarReal Madrid4–1ElcheLa Liga
3Win19%
5Draw31%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
4 playersOviedo3
A. Fores
QuestionableInjury
L. Dendoncker
QuestionableInjury
L. Ilic
QuestionableAchilles Tendon Injury
Elche1
A. Boayar
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Oviedo Win2.31 (40%)
Elche Win3.01 (36.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (50.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.79 (49.6%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (54.7%)
BTTS No1.95 (45.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.3%)
