Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
#15 · Major League Soccer
LWLLW
0 - 1
Referee: P. Lauziere
Houston Dynamo
#10 · Major League Soccer
WWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 65.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Orlando City SC will face Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Orlando City SC has a 35.6% probability of winning this match. Houston Dynamo has a 43.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Houston Dynamo have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Houston Dynamo43.8%2.43
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.565.1%1.52
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.1%1.45
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.19
14%
1-2
8.99
11.2%
2-1
9.02
11.2%
2-2
10.38
9.8%
0-1
11.18
9%
1-0
11.26
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.53 | Draw 3.81 | Away 2.43 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.52 | Under 2.44 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.12 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.45 | No 2.57 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.51 | 12 1.24 | X2 1.49 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.9%
Over 1.5 Goals81.6%
Over 2.5 Goals65.1%
Over 3.5 Goals40.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonOrlando City SCHouston Dynamo
1.13Goals p.g.1.93
2.87Goals conceded p.g.1.33
7%Clean sheets20%
20%Win rate60%
4Avg goals in match3.27
Recent Results
Orlando City SCLAST MATCHES
18 AprOrlando City SC0–1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 AprNaples0–1Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
05 AprLos Angeles FC6–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
21 MarNashville SC5–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
14 MarOrlando City SC2–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
07 MarNew York City FC5–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
3Win20%
1Draw7%
11Lost73%
LAST MATCHESHouston Dynamo
18 AprOrlando City SC0–1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
16 AprHouston Dynamo4–1El Paso LocomotiveUS Open Cup
05 AprHouston Dynamo0–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
22 MarFC Dallas4–3Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 MarHouston Dynamo3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
01 MarHouston Dynamo0–2Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedOrlando City SC3-5-2Confirmed
57Iago SilvaDEF
3Adrian MarinDEF
6Robin JanssonDEF
11Tiago SouzaFWD
14Tyrese SpicerFWD
71Maxime CrepeauGK
19Zakaria TaifiMID
8Braian OjedaMID
10Martín OjedaMID
77Iván AnguloMID
20Eduard AtuestaMID
Substitutes
21Nolan MillerDEF
29Tahir Reid-BrownDEF
23Harvey SarajianFWD
22Justin EllisFWD
65Gustavo CaraballoFWD
12Javier OteroGK
80Ignacio GómezMID
5Luis OtávioMID
25Colin GuskeMID
Houston Dynamo3-4-3Confirmed
36Felipe AndradeDEF
21Franco NegriDEF
3Antonio CarlosDEF
20GuilhermeFWD
10Ezequiel PonceFWD
19Mateusz BoguszFWD
31Jonathan BondGK
18Diadié SamassékouMID
34Agustin ReschMID
11Lawrence EnnaliMID
16Hector HerreraMID
Substitutes
28Erik SviatchenkoDEF
13Sam VinesDEF
24Ibrahim AliyuFWD
17Nick MarkanichFWD
1Jimmy MaurerGK
30Agustín BouzatMID
14Duane HolmesMID
9Ondrej LingrMID
6ArturMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersOrlando City SC4
D. McGuire
Missing FixtureInjury
Iago Teodoro
QuestionableInjury
J. Gerbet
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
W. Cartagena
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Houston Dynamo3
Artur
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. McGlynn
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
Lucas Halter
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (65.1%)
Both Teams Score1.45 (64.1%)
Value Bets
Orlando City SC Win2.53 (35.6%)
Houston Dynamo Win2.43 (43.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.44 (34.9%)
BTTS No2.57 (35.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.81 (20.6%)
