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Orlando City SC vs Charlotte

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 9
Orlando City SC
#15 · Major League Soccer
LWLLW
4 - 1
Referee: F. Dujic
Charlotte
#3 · Major League Soccer
WWLWW
32%
Home Win
20.8%
Draw
47.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 62.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Orlando City SC will face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Orlando City SC has a 32% probability of winning this match. Charlotte has a 47.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Charlotte are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Charlotte sit 3rd in the table, 12 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Charlotte47.2%2.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.562.3%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes61.5%1.47
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.94
14.5%
1-2
8.52
11.8%
2-1
9.47
10.7%
0-1
10.21
9.8%
2-2
10.66
9.5%
1-0
11.28
8.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.77Draw 3.76Away 2.27
O/U 2.5Over 1.56Under 2.35
O/U 1.5Over 1.17Under 4.87
O/U 3.5Over 2.42Under 1.54
BTTSYes 1.47No 2.51
Double Chance1X 1.5912 1.24X2 1.41

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
87012241821
WWWLW
1
Nashville SC
86111741319
WWLWW
2
San Jose Earthquakes
87011731421
WWWWL
2
Inter Miami
84311614215
WDDWD
3
Los Angeles FC
85121661016
LLWDW
3
Charlotte
84221510514
WLWWD
14
Atlanta United FC
8116614-84
LLLDW
15
Orlando City SC
8116625-194
LDLLW
15
Sporting Kansas City
8116720-134
LLLLW

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Orlando City SCCharlotte
1.13Goals p.g.1.75
2.87Goals conceded p.g.1
7%Clean sheets25%
20%Win rate50%
4Avg goals in match2.75

Recent Results

Orlando City SCLAST MATCHES
18 AprOrlando City SC0–1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 AprNaples0–1Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
05 AprLos Angeles FC6–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
21 MarNashville SC5–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
14 MarOrlando City SC2–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
07 MarNew York City FC5–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
3Win20%
1Draw7%
11Lost73%
LAST MATCHESCharlotte
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
15 AprCharlotte6–0Charlotte IndependenceUS Open Cup
11 AprCharlotte1–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
04 AprCharlotte2–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
21 MarCharlotte6–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
14 MarCharlotte0–0Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
8Win50%
3Draw19%
4Lost25%

Lineups

Confirmed

Orlando City SC4-4-2Confirmed

19Zakaria TaifiDEF
57Iago SilvaDEF
6Robin JanssonDEF
3Adrian MarinDEF
10Martín OjedaFWD
22Justin EllisFWD
71Maxime CrepeauGK
11Tiago SouzaMID
8Braian OjedaMID
5Luis OtávioMID
77Iván AnguloMID
Substitutes
21Nolan MillerDEF
29Tahir Reid-BrownDEF
34Yutaro TsukadaFWD
65Gustavo CaraballoFWD
44Bernardo RheinFWD
23Harvey SarajianFWD
12Javier OteroGK
25Colin GuskeMID
80Ignacio GómezMID

Charlotte4-2-3-1Confirmed

44Morrison AgyemangDEF
14Nathan ByrneDEF
4Andrew PrivettDEF
15Harry ToffoloDEF
9Idan Toklomati JornoFWD
1Kristijan KahlinaGK
10Wilfried ZahaMID
8Ashley WestwoodMID
17Luca De La TorreMID
37Rodolfo AlokoMID
16Pep BielMID
Substitutes
23David SchneggDEF
39Jack NeeleyDEF
11Liel AbadaFWD
18Kerwin Calderón VargasFWD
25Tyger SmallsFWD
7Archie GoodwinFWD
21Tyler MillerGK
13Brandt BronicoMID
28Djibril DianiMID

Unavailable Players

9 players

Orlando City SC7

✕D. Brekalo
QuestionableLeg Injury
✕D. McGuire
Missing FixtureInjury
✕E. Atuesta
QuestionableThigh Injury
✕G. Dorsey
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
✕J. Gerbet
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕M. Pasalic
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
✕W. Cartagena
Missing FixtureThigh Injury

Charlotte2

✕H. Kessler
QuestionableLower-Body Injury
✕T. Ream
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (62.3%)
Both Teams Score1.47 (61.5%)
●Value Bets
Orlando City SC Win2.77 (32%)
Charlotte Win2.27 (47.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (37.7%)
BTTS No2.51 (38.5%)
●Speculative
Draw3.76 (20.8%)
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte Predictions, Stats, H2H - 22 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro