Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
#25 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DWLWL
1 - 1
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee: B. Amiconi
Instituto Cordoba
#22 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 61.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Newells Old Boys will face Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Newells Old Boys has a 32.3% probability of winning this match. Instituto Cordoba has a 33.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 33.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Instituto Cordoba have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Both teams average a combined 1.7 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
X — Draw33.9%3.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.561.7%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No55.2%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.67
17.7%
0-1
6.36
15.7%
0-0
6.79
14.8%
1-0
6.85
14.7%
1-2
9.46
10.6%
2-1
10.33
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.92 | Draw 3.00 | Away 2.53 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.43 | Under 1.53 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.45 | Under 2.59 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.73 | Under 1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.00 | No 1.74 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.48 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.4%
Over 1.5 Goals64%
Over 2.5 Goals38.3%
Over 3.5 Goals19.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 22 | Instituto Cordoba | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 104 | LWWLW | |||
| 25 | Newells Old Boys | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | WDWWL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNewells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba
0.67Goals p.g.1
1.73Goals conceded p.g.1
13%Clean sheets31%
13%Win rate38%
2.4Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
Newells Old BoysLAST MATCHES
12 AprNewells Old Boys0–0San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
05 AprCentral Cordoba de Santiago1–3Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
29 MarNewells Old Boys0–2AcassusoCopa Argentina
21 MarNewells Old Boys1–0Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina
17 MarLanus5–0Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
11 MarNewells Old Boys1–1PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
2Win13%
4Draw27%
9Lost60%
LAST MATCHESInstituto Cordoba
18 AprInstituto Cordoba0–1Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
11 AprDeportivo Riestra0–1Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
07 AprInstituto Cordoba2–0Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
02 AprInstituto Cordoba2–0AtlantaCopa Argentina
22 MarBoca Juniors2–0Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
17 MarInstituto Cordoba2–1IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
6Win38%
3Draw19%
7Lost44%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNewells Old Boys
No reported absences
Instituto Cordoba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.53 (61.7%)
BTTS No1.74 (55.2%)
Value Bets
Newells Old Boys Win2.92 (32.3%)
Draw3.00 (33.9%)
Instituto Cordoba Win2.53 (33.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.43 (38.3%)
Both Teams Score2.00 (44.8%)
