Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
#1 · A-League
LWLWD
4 - 0
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Referee: C. Berg
Central Coast Mariners
#8 · A-League
WDLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
3.00
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.85 (implied 35.1%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 35.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.84. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Newcastle Jets will face Central Coast Mariners in the A-League at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Newcastle Jets has a 59.4% probability of winning this match. Central Coast Mariners has a 22.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Newcastle Jets average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Newcastle Jets59.4%1.49
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.567.9%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.8%1.38
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.42
12%
3-1
9.81
10.3%
1-1
10.29
9.8%
2-0
11.07
9.2%
2-2
11.98
8.4%
1-0
13.06
7.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.49 | Draw 4.83 | Away 5.23 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.47 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.06 | Under 7.54 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.74 | Under 2.07 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.38 | No 2.85 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.15 | 12 1.15 | X2 2.52 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.8%
Over 1.5 Goals87.6%
Over 2.5 Goals67.9%
Over 3.5 Goals54.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 45 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Auckland | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 40 | WDDWD |
| 4 |  Sydney | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 38 | DWDLL |
| 5 |  Melbourne City | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Melbourne Victory | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 37 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 | WDLDL |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 | DWDDL |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26 | LDDLD |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 21 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNewcastle JetsCentral Coast Mariners
2.15Goals p.g.1.56
1.08Goals conceded p.g.1.44
23%Clean sheets25%
77%Win rate38%
3.23Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
Newcastle JetsLAST MATCHES
02 AprMacarthur3–2Newcastle JetsA-League
22 MarSydney1–2Newcastle JetsA-League
14 MarNewcastle Jets1–2AucklandA-League
07 MarNewcastle Jets2–1Western Sydney WanderersA-League
28 FebCentral Coast Mariners0–0Newcastle JetsA-League
22 FebNewcastle Jets1–0MacarthurA-League
10Win77%
1Draw8%
2Lost15%
LAST MATCHESCentral Coast Mariners
19 AprAuckland0–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
10 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Brisbane RoarA-League
07 AprMelbourne City2–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
04 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Perth GloryA-League
21 MarMelbourne Victory4–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
14 MarCentral Coast Mariners1–1Adelaide UnitedA-League
6Win38%
6Draw38%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedNewcastle Jets4-3-3Confirmed
22Joel BertolissioDEF
5Joe ShaughnessyDEF
33Mark NattaDEF
23Daniel WilmeringDEF
13Clayton TaylorFWD
11Ben GibsonFWD
7Eli AdamsFWD
1James DelianovGK
8Lachlan BaylissMID
28Will DobsonMID
14Max BurgessMID
Substitutes
42Max CooperDEF
43Xavier BertoncelloFWD
20Alex NassiepGK
17Kosta GrozosMID
10Zach CloughMID
18Kota MizunumaMID
24Alex NunesMID
Central Coast Mariners4-5-1Confirmed
15Storm RouxDEF
2James DonachieDEF
26Brad TappDEF
5Lucas MauragisDEF
18Nathaniel BlairFWD
30Andrew RedmayneGK
45Jesse MantellMID
6Haine EamesMID
72Ali AuglahMID
23Oliver LavaleMID
48Chris DonnellMID
Substitutes
3Nathan PaullDEF
43Jacob NassoDEF
37Bailey BrandtmanFWD
7Christian TheoharousFWD
40Dylan Peraić-CullenGK
10Miguel Di PizioMID
16Harrison SteeleMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersNewcastle Jets
No reported absences
Central Coast Mariners
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Newcastle Jets Win1.49 (59.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.27 (67.9%)
Both Teams Score1.38 (64.8%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.47 (32.1%)
BTTS No2.85 (35.2%)
Speculative
Draw4.83 (18.1%)
Central Coast Mariners Win5.23 (22.5%)