New York Red Bulls vs DC United
New York Red Bulls
#8 · Major League Soccer
LWDWL
4 - 4
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: M. De Oliveira
DC United
#9 · Major League Soccer
DDLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , New York Red Bulls will face DC United in the Major League Soccer at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that New York Red Bulls has a 52.6% probability of winning this match. DC United has a 25.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.9%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — New York Red Bulls52.6%1.86
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.8%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.66
15.1%
2-1
7.63
13.2%
1-0
7.71
13%
2-0
9.10
11.1%
1-2
11.58
8.8%
0-1
11.65
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.86 | Draw 3.68 | Away 3.90 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.73 | Under 2.08 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.08 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.79 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.65 | No 2.13 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.23 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals77%
Over 2.5 Goals55.8%
Over 3.5 Goals33.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNew York Red BullsDC United
1.81Goals p.g.0.5
2.25Goals conceded p.g.1.44
12%Clean sheets31%
38%Win rate12%
4.06Avg goals in match1.94
Recent Results
New York Red BullsLAST MATCHES
18 AprCF Montreal4–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
15 AprNew York Red Bulls3–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUS Open Cup
11 AprInter Miami2–2New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew York Red Bulls4–2FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
21 MarCharlotte6–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
14 MarToronto FC1–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
6Win38%
2Draw13%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESDC United
18 AprPhiladelphia Union0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
15 AprDC United2–2One KnoxvilleUS Open Cup
11 AprNew England Revolution1–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
04 AprDC United0–4FC DallasMajor League Soccer
21 MarAtlanta United FC0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
15 MarChicago Fire1–2DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
2Win13%
6Draw38%
7Lost44%
Lineups
ConfirmedNew York Red Bulls4-3-3Confirmed
3Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyDEF
12Dylan NealisDEF
6Robert VoloderDEF
56Matthew Dos SantosDEF
16Julian HallFWD
79Rafael MosqueraFWD
11Jorge RuvalcabaFWD
34Ethan HorvathGK
48Ronald DonkorMID
15Adri MehmetiMID
10Emil ForsbergMID
Substitutes
26Tim ParkerDEF
20Juan MinaDEF
37Mohammed SofoFWD
7Cade CowellFWD
13Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingFWD
77John McCarthyGK
39Nehuen BenedettiMID
4Gustav BerggrenMID
23Joyeux Masanka BungiMID
DC United4-4-2Confirmed
5Silvan HeftiDEF
6Keisuke KurokawaDEF
15Kye RowlesDEF
3Lucas BartlettDEF
9Tai BariboFWD
25Jackson HopkinsFWD
1Sean JohnsonGK
7João PeglowMID
22Aaron HerreraMID
4Matti PeltolaMID
23Brandon ServaniaMID
Substitutes
27Nikola MarkovicDEF
12Conner AntleyDEF
17Jacob MurrellFWD
26Alex BonoGK
24Jordan FarrGK
48Gavin TurnerMID
30Caden ClarkMID
8Jared StroudMID
77Hosei KijimaMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersNew York Red Bulls3
A. Marcucci
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
C. Harper
QuestionableKnee Injury
J. Che
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
DC United4
G. Segal
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
H. Karamoko
Missing FixtureIllness
L. Munteanu
QuestionableThigh Injury
S. Nealis
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (55.8%)
Both Teams Score1.65 (57.8%)
Value Bets
New York Red Bulls Win1.86 (52.6%)
DC United Win3.90 (25.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.08 (44.2%)
BTTS No2.13 (42.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.68 (21.9%)
