New York City FC vs Charlotte
New York City FC
#7 · Major League Soccer
LWLDL
1 - 2
Yankee Stadium
Referee: T. Penso
Charlotte
#3 · Major League Soccer
WWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.78
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , New York City FC will face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer at Yankee Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that New York City FC has a 47.5% probability of winning this match. Charlotte has a 30.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Charlotte are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — New York City FC47.5%1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.7%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.3%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.69
15%
1-0
7.39
13.6%
2-1
7.46
13.5%
2-0
8.48
11.9%
0-0
11.35
8.9%
3-1
12.20
8.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.77 | Draw 3.69 | Away 4.35 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.76 | Under 2.06 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.01 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.84 | Under 1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.07 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.20 | 12 1.25 | X2 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals76.6%
Over 2.5 Goals55.7%
Over 3.5 Goals33.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 | Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 7 | New York City FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNew York City FCCharlotte
1.75Goals p.g.1.75
1.56Goals conceded p.g.1
19%Clean sheets25%
38%Win rate50%
3.31Avg goals in match2.75
Recent Results
New York City FCLAST MATCHES
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
14 AprWestchester SC2–5New York City FCUS Open Cup
11 AprVancouver Whitecaps2–0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew York City FC1–1St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarNew York City FC2–3Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
14 MarNew York City FC3–1Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
6Win38%
4Draw25%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESCharlotte
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
15 AprCharlotte6–0Charlotte IndependenceUS Open Cup
11 AprCharlotte1–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
04 AprCharlotte2–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
21 MarCharlotte6–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
14 MarCharlotte0–0Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
8Win50%
3Draw19%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedNew York City FC4-2-3-1Confirmed
24Tayvon GrayDEF
34Raul GustavoDEF
5Kai TrewinDEF
22Kevin O'TooleDEF
21Aiden O'NeillFWD
49Matthew FreeseGK
17Hannes WolfMID
10Maxi MoralezMID
26Agustin OjedaMID
13Thiago MartinsMID
7Nicolás FernándezMID
Substitutes
19Strahinja TanasijevićDEF
2Nico CavalloDEF
11Talles MagnoFWD
99Seymour Garfield-ReidFWD
30Tomás RomeroGK
55Keaton ParksMID
29Máximo CarrizoMID
15Kevin PierreMID
32Jonathan ShoreMID
Charlotte4-3-3Confirmed
44Morrison AgyemangDEF
15Harry ToffoloDEF
3Tim ReamDEF
14Nathan ByrneDEF
37Rodolfo AlokoFWD
10Wilfried ZahaFWD
9Idan Toklomati JornoFWD
1Kristijan KahlinaGK
8Ashley WestwoodMID
13Brandt BronicoMID
16Pep BielMID
Substitutes
4Andrew PrivettDEF
23David SchneggDEF
25Tyger SmallsFWD
7Archie GoodwinFWD
18Kerwin Calderón VargasFWD
11Liel AbadaFWD
21Tyler MillerGK
17Luca De La TorreMID
28Djibril DianiMID
Unavailable Players
4 playersNew York City FC4
A. Martinez
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
A. Perea
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
D. Baiera
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Thiago Martins
QuestionableLeg Injury
Charlotte
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.76 (55.7%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (57.3%)
Value Bets
New York City FC Win1.77 (47.5%)
Charlotte Win4.35 (30.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.06 (44.3%)
BTTS No2.07 (42.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.69 (21.8%)
