Nashville SC vs Charlotte
Nashville SC
#1 · Major League Soccer
WWWDL
4 - 2
Geodis Park
Referee: J. Dickerson
Charlotte
#3 · Major League Soccer
WWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Nashville SC to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Charlotte make Nashville SC the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Nashville SC to Win. Our model calculates a 55.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nashville SC will face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer at Geodis Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nashville SC has a 55.9% probability of winning this match. Charlotte has a 22.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Charlotte are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Nashville SC boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.5 goals per game
- Nashville SC have kept clean sheets in 56% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Nashville SC55.9%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.5%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.98
14.4%
1-1
7.09
14.2%
2-1
7.43
13.5%
2-0
7.57
13.3%
3-1
11.39
8.9%
3-0
11.48
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.60 | Draw 3.98 | Away 5.32 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.74 | Under 2.07 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.06 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.82 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.74 | No 1.99 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.15 | 12 1.22 | X2 2.28 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals76.9%
Over 2.5 Goals50.5%
Over 3.5 Goals33.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 | Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNashville SCCharlotte
1.67Goals p.g.1.75
0.5Goals conceded p.g.1
56%Clean sheets25%
56%Win rate50%
2.17Avg goals in match2.75
Recent Results
Nashville SCLAST MATCHES
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprClub America0–1Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprCharlotte1–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
08 AprNashville SC0–0Club AmericaCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprChicago Fire1–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
21 MarNashville SC5–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
10Win56%
5Draw28%
2Lost11%
LAST MATCHESCharlotte
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
15 AprCharlotte6–0Charlotte IndependenceUS Open Cup
11 AprCharlotte1–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
04 AprCharlotte2–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
21 MarCharlotte6–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
14 MarCharlotte0–0Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
8Win50%
3Draw19%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedNashville SC4-4-2Confirmed
31Andy NajarDEF
2Daniel LovitzDEF
3Maxwell WoledziDEF
4Jeisson PalaciosDEF
41Warren MadrigalFWD
10Hany MukhtarFWD
99Brian SchwakeGK
7Cristian EspinozaMID
37Ahmed QasemMID
8Patrick YazbekMID
16Matthew CorcoranMID
Substitutes
27Reed Baker-WhitingDEF
22Josh BauerDEF
5Jack MaherDEF
9Sam SurridgeFWD
1Joe WillisGK
14Shakur MohammedMID
6Bryan AcostaMID
19Alex MuylMID
20Edvard Sandvik TagsethMID
Charlotte4-3-3Confirmed
14Nathan ByrneDEF
15Harry ToffoloDEF
4Andrew PrivettDEF
44Morrison AgyemangDEF
18Kerwin Calderón VargasFWD
7Archie GoodwinFWD
37Rodolfo AlokoFWD
1Kristijan KahlinaGK
8Ashley WestwoodMID
13Brandt BronicoMID
16Pep BielMID
Substitutes
22Henry KesslerDEF
23David SchneggDEF
25Tyger SmallsFWD
9Idan Toklomati JornoFWD
11Liel AbadaFWD
21Tyler MillerGK
28Djibril DianiMID
17Luca De La TorreMID
48Aron JohnMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersNashville SC
No reported absences
Charlotte
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Nashville SC Win1.60 (55.9%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (50.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (49.5%)
Both Teams Score1.74 (51.9%)
BTTS No1.99 (48.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.98 (21.2%)
Charlotte Win5.32 (22.9%)
