Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
#17 · Ligue 1
LDDDL
1 - 1
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Referee: G. Paradis
Stade Brestois 29
#10 · Ligue 1
DLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.74
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nantes will face Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nantes has a 39.9% probability of winning this match. Stade Brestois 29 has a 35.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.8%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Nantes39.9%2.45
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.2%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.1%1.90
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.79
17.3%
1-0
7.01
14.3%
0-1
7.90
12.7%
0-0
8.16
12.3%
2-1
8.87
11.4%
1-2
10.04
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.45 | Draw 3.22 | Away 2.98 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.17 | Under 1.69 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 3.02 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.89 | Under 1.23 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.83 | No 1.90 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.54 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.7%
Over 1.5 Goals68.8%
Over 2.5 Goals43.8%
Over 3.5 Goals24.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 | WLWWL |
| 2 |  Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 63 | DWLWL |
| 3 |  Lille | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 54 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Lyon | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 54 | WWDLD |
| 5 |  Rennes | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Marseille | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 52 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 38 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Nantes | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Metz | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 15 | LLDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNantesStade Brestois 29
0.8Goals p.g.1.29
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.29
27%Clean sheets36%
13%Win rate36%
2.27Avg goals in match2.57
Recent Results
NantesLAST MATCHES
22 AprParis Saint Germain3–0NantesLigue 1
19 AprNantes1–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
11 AprAuxerre0–0NantesLigue 1
05 AprMetz0–0NantesLigue 1
22 MarNantes2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
07 MarNantes0–1AngersLigue 1
2Win13%
4Draw27%
9Lost60%
LAST MATCHESStade Brestois 29
19 AprNantes1–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
04 AprStade Brestois 293–4RennesLigue 1
21 MarAuxerre3–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
14 MarMonaco2–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
08 MarStade Brestois 292–0Le HavreLigue 1
01 MarMetz0–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
5Win36%
4Draw29%
5Lost36%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersNantes6
B. Guirassy
QuestionableInactive
F. Centonze
Missing FixtureInjury
K. Amian
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Kaba
QuestionableInactive
R. Cabella
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
T. Tati
Missing FixtureRed Card
Stade Brestois 294
B. Locko
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
J. M. Diaz
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
K. Doumbia
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Balde
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.69 (56.2%)
Value Bets
Nantes Win2.45 (39.9%)
Stade Brestois 29 Win2.98 (35.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.17 (43.8%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (49.9%)
BTTS No1.90 (50.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.22 (24.8%)
