Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
#6 · Major League Soccer
WDWDL
2 - 0
Allianz Field
Referee: N. Bensalah
Portland Timbers
#12 · Major League Soccer
LWLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Minnesota United FC will face Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer at Allianz Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Minnesota United FC has a 55.8% probability of winning this match. Portland Timbers has a 23.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Minnesota United FC have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Minnesota United FC55.8%1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.6%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.6%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.27
13.8%
2-1
7.58
13.3%
1-0
8.78
11.4%
2-0
9.29
10.8%
2-2
11.65
8.8%
3-1
11.55
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.75 | Draw 3.90 | Away 4.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.57 | Under 2.33 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.83 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.43 | Under 1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.56 | No 2.30 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.22 | X2 2.02 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals58.6%
Over 3.5 Goals38.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Minnesota United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonMinnesota United FCPortland Timbers
1.13Goals p.g.1.27
1.47Goals conceded p.g.2.07
47%Clean sheets7%
27%Win rate20%
2.6Avg goals in match3.33
Recent Results
Minnesota United FCLAST MATCHES
19 AprMinnesota United FC2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
15 AprSacramento Republic0–0Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
05 AprLos Angeles Galaxy1–2Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
22 MarMinnesota United FC0–0Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
15 MarVancouver Whitecaps6–0Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
08 MarNashville SC3–1Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
6Draw40%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESPortland Timbers
19 AprMinnesota United FC2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
11 AprPortland Timbers2–1Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
05 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
22 MarPortland Timbers1–1Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
15 MarHouston Dynamo3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
08 MarPortland Timbers1–4Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
3Win20%
3Draw20%
8Lost53%
Lineups
ConfirmedMinnesota United FC3-4-2-1Confirmed
28Jefferson DíazDEF
5Nicolás RomeroDEF
23Morris DugganDEF
26Joaquín PereyraFWD
8Tomás ChancalayFWD
9Kelvin YeboahFWD
12Drake CallenderGK
3Kyle DuncanMID
30Owen GeneMID
13Anthony MarkanichMID
25Nectarios TriantisMID
Substitutes
27D.J. TaylorDEF
2Devin PadelfordDEF
33Kieran ChandlerDEF
18Mauricio GonzálezFWD
29Mamadou DiengFWD
21Bongokuhle HlongwaneFWD
1Alec SmirGK
20Wil TrappMID
10James RodriguezMID
Portland Timbers4-2-3-1Confirmed
20Finn SurmanDEF
27Jímer ForyDEF
6Alex BonetigDEF
5Brandon ByeDEF
9Felipe MoraFWD
41James PantemisGK
30José CaicedoMID
17Cole BassettMID
11Antony AlvesMID
10David da CostaMID
99Kristoffer VeldeMID
Substitutes
4Kamal MillerDEF
15Eric MillerDEF
23Ian SmithDEF
7Ariel LassiterFWD
28Alexander AravenaFWD
19Kevin KelsyFWD
25Trey MuseGK
80Joao OrtízMID
21Diego CharáMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersMinnesota United FC3
J. Gressel
Missing FixtureToe Injury
M. Boxall
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
P. Stroud
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
Portland Timbers3
J. Mosquera
Missing FixtureInactive
O. Fernandez
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Z. McGraw
Missing FixtureBack Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Minnesota United FC Win1.75 (55.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (58.6%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (59.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.33 (41.4%)
BTTS No2.30 (40.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.90 (21%)
Portland Timbers Win4.14 (23.2%)
