Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC

Minnesota United FC
#6 · Major League Soccer
WDWDL
0 - 1
Allianz Field
Referee: G. J. Gonzalez

Los Angeles FC
#3 · Major League Soccer
LDLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Minnesota United FC will face Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer at Allianz Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Minnesota United FC has a 42.6% probability of winning this match. Los Angeles FC has a 34.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Los Angeles FC have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- Minnesota United FC have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
- Los Angeles FC have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Minnesota United FC42.6%2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.9%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.6%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.50
15.4%
2-1
8.63
11.7%
1-0
9.41
10.7%
1-2
9.54
10.6%
0-1
10.34
9.7%
2-2
11.18
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.38 | Draw 3.47 | Away 2.74 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.68 | Under 2.14 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.22 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.68 | Under 1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.32 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.42 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals77.8%
Over 2.5 Goals52.9%
Over 3.5 Goals34.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW | |
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 | WWWDL | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonMinnesota United FCLos Angeles FC
1.13Goals p.g.1.89
1.47Goals conceded p.g.0.72
47%Clean sheets50%
27%Win rate56%
2.6Avg goals in match2.61
Recent Results
Minnesota United FCLAST MATCHES
19 AprMinnesota United FC2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
15 AprSacramento Republic0–0Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
05 AprLos Angeles Galaxy1–2Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
22 MarMinnesota United FC0–0Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
15 MarVancouver Whitecaps6–0Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
08 MarNashville SC3–1Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
6Draw40%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESLos Angeles FC
19 AprLos Angeles FC1–4San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
15 AprCruz Azul1–1Los Angeles FCCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprPortland Timbers2–1Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
08 AprLos Angeles FC3–0Cruz AzulCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprLos Angeles FC6–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
22 MarAustin0–0Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
10Win56%
5Draw28%
2Lost11%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 players
Minnesota United FC4
C. Harvey
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
J. Gressel
Missing FixtureToe Injury
M. Boxall
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
P. Stroud
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
Los Angeles FC4
A. Boudri
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
Igor Jesus
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
L. Dellavalle
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Eustaquio
QuestionableLeg Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.54 (55.6%)
Value Bets
Minnesota United FC Win2.38 (42.6%)
Los Angeles FC Win2.74 (34.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (52.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.14 (47.1%)
BTTS No2.32 (44.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (22.7%)









