Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro

Liga MXClausura - 15

Mazatlán

#16 · Liga MX

WDLLD

1 - 1

Estadio El Encanto

Club Queretaro

#14 · Liga MX

DDWDW

38%

Home Win

23.1%

Draw

38.9%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.65

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Mazatlán will face Club Queretaro in the Liga MX at Estadio El Encanto.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Mazatlán has a 38% probability of winning this match. Club Queretaro has a 38.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Club Queretaro are unbeaten in their last 5 matches

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — Club Queretaro38.9%2.38

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.552.3%1.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes56.7%1.61

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.24

16.1%

0-1

8.61

11.7%

1-2

8.63

11.6%

2-1

9.30

10.9%

1-0

9.40

10.8%

0-0

11.11

9.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.72	Draw 3.41	Away 2.38
O/U 2.5	Over 1.79	Under 1.99
O/U 1.5	Over 1.23	Under 3.86
O/U 3.5	Over 2.93	Under 1.37
BTTS	Yes 1.61	No 2.17
Double Chance	1X 1.54	12 1.28	X2 1.41

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

91.2%

Over 1.5 Goals

75.9%

Over 2.5 Goals

52.3%

Over 3.5 Goals

31.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
14	Club Queretaro	16	3	8	5	15	20	-5	17	DDWDW
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

MazatlánClub Queretaro

1.31Goals p.g.0.94

2Goals conceded p.g.1.25

6%Clean sheets31%

25%Win rate19%

3.31Avg goals in match2.19

Recent Results

MazatlánLAST MATCHES

23 AprMazatlán4–3TolucaLiga MX

18 AprMazatlán1–1Club QueretaroLiga MX

12 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas3–1MazatlánLiga MX

04 AprNecaxa2–1MazatlánLiga MX

21 MarMazatlán1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

16 MarClub America2–0MazatlánLiga MX

4Win25%

3Draw19%

9Lost56%

LAST MATCHESClub Queretaro

22 AprClub Queretaro1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

18 AprMazatlán1–1Club QueretaroLiga MX

11 AprClub Queretaro3–1NecaxaLiga MX

08 AprClub Queretaro1–1FC JuarezLiga MX

04 AprClub Queretaro1–0TolucaLiga MX

21 MarAtlas0–0Club QueretaroLiga MX

3Win19%

8Draw50%

5Lost31%

Lineups

Confirmed

Mazatlán5-3-2Confirmed

5Facundo AlmadaDEF

4Jair DíazDEF

14Mauro ZaletaDEF

21Sebastián SantosDEF

19Lucas MerollaDEF

7DuduFWD

15Brian RubioFWD

33Ricardo RodríguezGK

17Josué OvalleMID

11Yoel BárcenasMID

25Said GodínezMID

Substitutes

16José Joaquín EsquivelDEF

188Luis CarilloDEF

193Gabriel LopezFWD

10Omar MorenoFWD

90Fábio GomesFWD

28Jesús HernándezFWD

13André AlcarazGK

31Angel SaavedraMID

20Mauro LaínezMID

9Billy ArceMID

Club Queretaro4-2-3-1Confirmed

27Daniel ParraDEF

2Lucas AbasciaDEF

22Bayron DuarteDEF

9Diego ReyesDEF

31Ali ÁvilaFWD

1José HernándezGK

4Carlo Adriano GarcíaMID

6Santiago HomenchenkoMID

14Jean UnjanqueMID

37Mateo CoronelMID

17Francisco VenegasMID

Substitutes

12Jaime GomezDEF

15Carlos VillanuevaDEF

26Eduardo PerezFWD

25Guillermo AllisonGK

10Lucas RodríguezMID

29Waldo MadridMID

23Juan Eduardo RoblesMID

8Bernardo ParraMID

190Juan Pablo CázaresMID

21Fernando GonzálezMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Mazatlán

No reported absences

Club Queretaro

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Both Teams Score1.61 (56.7%)

●Value Bets

Mazatlán Win2.72 (38%)

Club Queretaro Win2.38 (38.9%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (52.3%)

Under 2.5 Goals1.99 (47.7%)

BTTS No2.17 (43.3%)

●Speculative

Draw3.41 (23.1%)