Mallorca vs Valencia
Mallorca
#15 · La Liga
WLWDL
1 - 1
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Valencia
#14 · La Liga
DLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.91
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.83 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Mallorca will face Valencia in the La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Mallorca has a 41.6% probability of winning this match. Valencia has a 33.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Valencia have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Mallorca41.6%2.54
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.9%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%1.83
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.78
17.3%
1-0
7.38
13.6%
0-1
7.93
12.6%
0-0
8.09
12.4%
2-1
9.13
11%
1-2
10.01
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.54 | Draw 3.14 | Away 2.94 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.14 | Under 1.71 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.35 | Under 3.05 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.75 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.83 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.40 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.51 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.4%
Over 1.5 Goals69.3%
Over 2.5 Goals48.1%
Over 3.5 Goals24.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 | DLLWL |
| 15 | Mallorca | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonMallorcaValencia
1.31Goals p.g.1.36
1.85Goals conceded p.g.1.14
0%Clean sheets43%
31%Win rate50%
3.15Avg goals in match2.5
Recent Results
MallorcaLAST MATCHES
04 AprMallorca2–1Real MadridLa Liga
21 MarElche2–1MallorcaLa Liga
15 MarMallorca2–1EspanyolLa Liga
07 MarOsasuna2–2MallorcaLa Liga
28 FebMallorca0–1Real SociedadLa Liga
22 FebCelta Vigo2–0MallorcaLa Liga
4Win31%
1Draw8%
8Lost62%
LAST MATCHESValencia
21 AprMallorca0–0ValenciaLa Liga
05 AprValencia2–3Celta VigoLa Liga
21 MarSevilla0–2ValenciaLa Liga
14 MarOviedo1–0ValenciaLa Liga
08 MarValencia3–2AlavesLa Liga
01 MarValencia1–0OsasunaLa Liga
7Win50%
1Draw7%
6Lost43%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
13 playersMallorca5
A. Raillo
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Salas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
L. Bergstrom
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Joseph
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Z. Luvumbo
Missing FixtureInjury
Valencia8
B. Santamaria
Missing FixtureStomach Disorder
D. Foulquier
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
E. Comert
Missing FixtureAbdominal strain
H. Duro
QuestionableMuscle Injury
J. Agirrezabala
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Copete
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
M. Diakhaby
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
U. Nunez
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Mallorca Win2.54 (41.6%)
Valencia Win2.94 (33.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.14 (48.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.71 (51.9%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (53.2%)
BTTS No1.91 (46.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.14 (24.9%)
