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Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 8
Los Angeles FC
#3 · Major League Soccer
LDLWW
1 - 4
BMO Stadium
Referee: J. Dickerson
San Jose Earthquakes
#2 · Major League Soccer
WWWWL
51%
Home Win
20.7%
Draw
28.3%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Los Angeles FC will face San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer at BMO Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Los Angeles FC has a 51% probability of winning this match. San Jose Earthquakes has a 28.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • San Jose Earthquakes are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Los Angeles FC boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
  • San Jose Earthquakes have a solid defence with 0.5 goals conceded per game
  • Los Angeles FC have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
  • San Jose Earthquakes have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Los Angeles FC51%1.61
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-1
7.54
13.3%
1-1
7.63
13.2%
1-0
8.79
11.4%
2-0
8.89
11.3%
3-1
10.92
9.3%
2-2
12.15
8.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.61Draw 4.16Away 4.89
O/U 2.5Over 1.53Under 2.42
O/U 1.5Over 1.16Under 5.04
O/U 3.5Over 2.34Under 1.57
BTTSYes 1.56No 2.31
Double Chance1X 1.1712 1.20X2 2.24

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
40.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
87012241821
WWWLW
1
Nashville SC
86111741319
WWLWW
2
San Jose Earthquakes
87011731421
WWWWL
2
Inter Miami
84311614215
WDDWD
3
Los Angeles FC
85121661016
LLWDW
3
Charlotte
84221510514
WLWWD
14
Atlanta United FC
8116614-84
LLLDW
15
Orlando City SC
8116625-194
LDLLW
15
Sporting Kansas City
8116720-134
LLLLW

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes
1.89Goals p.g.1.73
0.72Goals conceded p.g.0.47
50%Clean sheets53%
56%Win rate73%
2.61Avg goals in match2.2

Recent Results

Los Angeles FCLAST MATCHES
19 AprLos Angeles FC1–4San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
15 AprCruz Azul1–1Los Angeles FCCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprPortland Timbers2–1Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
08 AprLos Angeles FC3–0Cruz AzulCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprLos Angeles FC6–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
22 MarAustin0–0Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
10Win56%
5Draw28%
2Lost11%
LAST MATCHESSan Jose Earthquakes
19 AprLos Angeles FC1–4San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
16 AprSan Jose Earthquakes2–0Phoenix RisingUS Open Cup
05 AprSan Jose Earthquakes3–0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
22 MarVancouver Whitecaps0–1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
15 MarSan Jose Earthquakes0–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
08 MarPhiladelphia Union0–1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
11Win73%
1Draw7%
1Lost7%

Lineups

Confirmed

Los Angeles FC4-3-3Confirmed

91Nkosi TafariDEF
5Ryan PorteousDEF
14Sergi PalenciaDEF
4Eddie SeguraDEF
99Denis BouangaFWD
7Son Heung-minFWD
30David Martínez MoralesFWD
1Hugo LlorisGK
8Mark DelgadoMID
66Mathieu ChoinièreMID
11Timothy TillmanMID
Substitutes
33Aaron LongDEF
24Ryan HollingsheadDEF
19Tyler BoydFWD
18Jacob ShaffelburgFWD
17Jeremy EbobisseFWD
27Nathan OrdazFWD
31Cabral CarterGK
22Jude TerryMID
21Ryan RaposoMID

San Jose Earthquakes4-2-3-1Confirmed

18Reid RobertsDEF
28Benjamin KikanovićDEF
5Daniel MunieDEF
2Jamar RickettsDEF
19Preston JuddFWD
42DanielGK
14Ronaldo VieiraMID
34Beau LerouxMID
7Ousseni BoudaMID
10Niko TsakirisMID
11Timo WernerMID
Substitutes
25Max FlorianiDEF
17Jack JasinskiDEF
4Dave RomneyDEF
36Earl Edwards Jr.GK
6Ian HarkesMID
16Jack SkahanMID
21Noel BuckMID
40Jonathan GonzalezMID
20Nick FernandezMID

Unavailable Players

8 players

Los Angeles FC4

✕A. Boudri
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
✕Igor Jesus
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕L. Dellavalle
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕S. Eustaquio
Missing FixtureLeg Injury

San Jose Earthquakes4

✕D. Jones
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
✕J. Ricketts
QuestionableInjury
✕K. Spivey
QuestionableInjury
✕Vitor Costa
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.56 (55.4%)
●Value Bets
Los Angeles FC Win1.61 (51%)
San Jose Earthquakes Win4.89 (28.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.53 (54%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (46%)
BTTS No2.31 (44.6%)
●Speculative
Draw4.16 (20.7%)
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Predictions, Stats, H2H - 19 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro