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Lorient vs Strasbourg

Ligue 1Regular Season - 31
Lorient
#9 · Ligue 1
WDLWD
2 - 3
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Referee: B. Millot
Strasbourg
#8 · Ligue 1
LLLWW
49.9%
Home Win
22.9%
Draw
27.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Lorient will face Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lorient has a 49.9% probability of winning this match. Strasbourg has a 27.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.9%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Lorient49.9%2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.1%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.1%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.37
15.7%
1-0
7.97
12.6%
2-1
7.98
12.6%
2-0
10.15
9.9%
1-2
10.38
9.7%
0-1
10.58
9.5%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.10Draw 3.53Away 3.29
O/U 2.5Over 1.79Under 2.02
O/U 1.5Over 1.23Under 3.89
O/U 3.5Over 2.94Under 1.38
BTTSYes 1.63No 2.17
Double Chance1X 1.3212 1.28X2 1.72

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Ligue 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Paris Saint Germain
29213565254066
WLWWL
2
Lens
30203760322863
DWLWL
3
Lille
30166849341554
DWWWW
4
Lyon
30166845301554
WWDLD
5
Rennes
30158752411153
WWWDL
6
Marseille
301641058401852
LWLLW
8
Strasbourg
29127104637943
LWWDD
9
Lorient
30101194044-441
WLDLW
16
Auxerre
30510152539-1425
DDDWL
17
Nantes
3048182549-2420
LDDDL
18
Metz
3036212766-3915
LLDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
LorientStrasbourg
1.57Goals p.g.1.56
0.93Goals conceded p.g.1.33
36%Clean sheets11%
50%Win rate44%
2.5Avg goals in match2.89

Recent Results

LorientLAST MATCHES
18 AprLorient2–0MarseilleLigue 1
05 AprLorient1–1Paris FCLigue 1
21 MarToulouse1–0LorientLigue 1
14 MarLorient2–1LensLigue 1
08 MarLille1–1LorientLigue 1
04 MarLorient0–0NiceCoupe de France
7Win50%
5Draw36%
2Lost14%
LAST MATCHESStrasbourg
22 AprStrasbourg0–2NiceCoupe de France
19 AprStrasbourg0–3RennesLigue 1
09 AprFSV Mainz 052–0StrasbourgUEFA Europa Conference League
04 AprStrasbourg3–1NiceLigue 1
22 MarNantes2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
19 MarStrasbourg1–1HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference League
8Win44%
5Draw28%
5Lost28%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

8 players

Lorient4

✕I. Toure
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕M. Bamba
Missing FixtureInjury
✕M. Talbi
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
✕T. Le Bris
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Strasbourg4

✕A. Anselmino
Missing FixtureInactive
✕G. Doue
QuestionableInactive
✕J. Panichelli
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕V. Barco
QuestionableLeg Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.63 (56.1%)
●Value Bets
Lorient Win2.10 (49.9%)
Strasbourg Win3.29 (27.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (52.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.02 (47.9%)
BTTS No2.17 (43.9%)
●Speculative
Draw3.53 (22.9%)
Lorient vs Strasbourg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro