Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Liverpool
#5 · Premier League
WLLLW
3 - 1
Anfield, Liverpool
Referee: A. Madley
Crystal Palace
#13 · Premier League
DWW?W
★ OUR PICK
Liverpool to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Crystal Palace make Liverpool the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Liverpool to Win. Our model calculates a 57.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Liverpool will face Crystal Palace in the Premier League at Anfield.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Liverpool has a 57.2% probability of winning this match. Crystal Palace has a 23.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Crystal Palace have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Liverpool sit 5th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Liverpool average 2.1 goals per game
- Crystal Palace have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Liverpool57.2%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.2%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%1.61
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.59
13.2%
1-1
8.32
12.1%
2-0
8.46
11.9%
1-0
8.87
11.4%
3-1
10.67
9.5%
3-0
11.44
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.55 | Draw 4.48 | Away 5.43 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.53 | Under 2.48 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.14 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.34 | Under 1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.21 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.15 | 12 1.19 | X2 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.5%
Over 1.5 Goals81.7%
Over 2.5 Goals57.2%
Over 3.5 Goals40.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 70 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 70 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 43 | DWDWL |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Wolves | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 61 | -37 | 17 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLiverpoolCrystal Palace
2.06Goals p.g.1.24
1.19Goals conceded p.g.0.88
31%Clean sheets41%
56%Win rate41%
3.25Avg goals in match2.12
Recent Results
LiverpoolLAST MATCHES
19 AprEverton1–2LiverpoolPremier League
08 AprParis Saint Germain2–0LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
04 AprManchester City4–0LiverpoolFA Cup
21 MarBrighton2–1LiverpoolPremier League
18 MarLiverpool4–0GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
15 MarLiverpool1–1TottenhamPremier League
9Win56%
1Draw6%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESCrystal Palace
20 AprCrystal Palace0–0West HamPremier League
12 AprCrystal Palace2–1NewcastlePremier League
09 AprCrystal Palace3–0FiorentinaUEFA Europa Conference League
21 MarManchester City–Crystal PalacePremier League
19 MarAEK Larnaca1–2Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarCrystal Palace0–0LeedsPremier League
7Win41%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%
Lineups
ConfirmedLiverpool4-2-3-1Confirmed
5Ibrahima KonatéDEF
8Dominik SzoboszlaiDEF
4Virgil van DijkDEF
26Andy RobertsonDEF
9Alexander IsakFWD
28Freddie WoodmanGK
10Alexis Mac AllisterMID
11Mohamed SalahMID
7Florian WirtzMID
18Cody GakpoMID
17Curtis JonesMID
Substitutes
2Joe GomezDEF
30Jeremie FrimpongDEF
6Miloš KerkezDEF
14Federico ChiesaFWD
73Rio NgumohaFWD
79Will WrightFWD
41Ármin PécsiGK
42Trey NyoniMID
38Ryan GravenberchMID
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1Confirmed
5Maxence LacroixDEF
23Jaydee CanvotDEF
26Chris RichardsDEF
14Jean-Philippe MatetaFWD
11Brennan JohnsonFWD
7Ismaïla SarrFWD
1Dean HendersonGK
2Daniel MuñozMID
18Daichi KamadaMID
20Adam WhartonMID
3Tyrick MitchellMID
Substitutes
34Chadi RiadDEF
17Nathaniel ClyneDEF
24Borna SosaDEF
22Jørgen Strand LarsenFWD
44Walter BenitezGK
10Yéremy PinoMID
8Jefferson LermaMID
55Justin DevennyMID
19Will HughesMID
Unavailable Players
12 playersLiverpool8
Alisson
QuestionableMuscle Injury
C. Bradley
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Leoni
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Mamardashvili
Missing FixtureInjury
H. Ekitike
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
J. Gomez
QuestionableInjury
S. Bajcetic
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
W. Endo
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Crystal Palace4
A. Wharton
QuestionableInjury
C. Doucoure
QuestionableKnee Injury
E. Guessand
Missing FixtureInjury
E. Nketiah
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Liverpool Win1.55 (57.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.53 (57.2%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (56.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.48 (42.8%)
BTTS No2.21 (43.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.48 (19.6%)
Crystal Palace Win5.43 (23.2%)
