Levante vs Sevilla
Levante
#19 · La Liga
WWLWD
2 - 0
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Referee: J. Sanchez
Sevilla
#17 · La Liga
WLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.77
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Levante will face Sevilla in the La Liga at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Levante has a 44.1% probability of winning this match. Sevilla has a 31.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Levante have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Levante44.1%2.42
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%1.84
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.85
17.1%
1-0
7.08
14.2%
0-1
8.07
12.4%
0-0
8.25
12.2%
2-1
8.93
11.3%
1-2
10.11
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.42 | Draw 3.21 | Away 3.07 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.14 | Under 1.72 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 3.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.79 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.84 | No 1.92 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.7%
Over 1.5 Goals69.1%
Over 2.5 Goals47%
Over 3.5 Goals24.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 17 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLevanteSevilla
1.13Goals p.g.1.07
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.79
27%Clean sheets7%
33%Win rate21%
2.53Avg goals in match2.86
Recent Results
LevanteLAST MATCHES
23 AprLevante2–0SevillaLa Liga
13 AprLevante1–0GetafeLa Liga
04 AprReal Sociedad2–0LevanteLa Liga
21 MarLevante4–2OviedoLa Liga
16 MarRayo Vallecano1–1LevanteLa Liga
07 MarLevante1–1GironaLa Liga
5Win33%
4Draw27%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESSevilla
11 AprSevilla2–1Atletico MadridLa Liga
05 AprOviedo1–0SevillaLa Liga
21 MarSevilla0–2ValenciaLa Liga
15 MarBarcelona5–2SevillaLa Liga
08 MarSevilla1–1Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
01 MarReal Betis2–2SevillaLa Liga
3Win21%
5Draw36%
6Lost43%
Lineups
ConfirmedLevante4-4-2Confirmed
22Jeremy ToljanDEF
2Matias MorenoDEF
4Adrián de la FuenteDEF
23Manuel SánchezDEF
9Iván RomeroFWD
19Carlos EspíFWD
13Mathew RyanGK
26Kareem TundeMID
14Ugo RaghouberMID
10Pablo MartínezMID
8Jon Ander OlasagastiMID
Substitutes
17Víctor GarcíaDEF
29Nacho PérezDEF
6Diego PampínDEF
3Alan MatturroDEF
18Iker LosadaFWD
21Etta EyongFWD
55Tai AbedFWD
27Paco CortésFWD
1Pablo CuñatGK
24Carlos ÁlvarezMID
16Kervin ArriagaMID
20Oriol ReyMID
Sevilla4-3-3Confirmed
32Andres CastrinDEF
4Kike SalasDEF
16Juanlu SánchezDEF
6Nemanja GudeljDEF
11Ruben VargasFWD
9Akor AdamsFWD
7Isaac RomeroFWD
1Odysseas VlachodimosGK
36OsoMID
28Manu BuenoMID
18Lucien AgouméMID
Substitutes
12Gabriel SuazoDEF
5Tanguy NianzouDEF
15Fabio CardosoDEF
22Federico GattoniDEF
2José Ángel CarmonaDEF
10Alexis SánchezFWD
17Neal MaupayFWD
14Peque FernándezFWD
21Chidera EjukeFWD
13Ørjan NylandGK
20Djibril SowMID
19Batista MendyMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersLevante2
R. Brugue
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
U. Elgezabal
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Sevilla4
A. Januzaj
Missing FixtureCoach's decision
C. Azpilicueta
Missing FixtureInjury
Joan Jordan
Missing FixtureCoach's decision
Marcao
Missing FixtureWrist Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Levante Win2.42 (44.1%)
Sevilla Win3.07 (31.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.14 (47%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (53%)
Both Teams Score1.84 (52.4%)
BTTS No1.92 (47.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.21 (24.6%)
