Leon vs FC Juarez

Liga MXClausura - 15

Leon

#10 · Liga MX

LWWWW

3 - 1

Referee: V. Caceres

FC Juarez

#15 · Liga MX

LLLDD

50.7%

Home Win

22.2%

Draw

27.1%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.59

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 62.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Leon will face FC Juarez in the Liga MX.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Leon has a 50.7% probability of winning this match. FC Juarez has a 27.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Leon are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Leon50.7%2.23

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.559.8%1.67

Both Teams to Score

Yes62.3%1.54

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.70

15%

2-1

8.34

12%

1-0

9.21

10.9%

1-2

9.71

10.4%

0-1

10.73

9.4%

2-2

11.15

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.23	Draw 3.54	Away 2.89
O/U 2.5	Over 1.67	Under 2.17
O/U 1.5	Over 1.19	Under 4.26
O/U 3.5	Over 2.60	Under 1.45
BTTS	Yes 1.54	No 2.31
Double Chance	1X 1.36	12 1.26	X2 1.62

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

92.2%

Over 1.5 Goals

78.1%

Over 2.5 Goals

59.8%

Over 3.5 Goals

35.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
10	Leon	16	7	1	8	21	28	-7	22	LWWWW
15	FC Juarez	16	4	4	8	24	31	-7	16	LLLDD
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

LeonFC Juarez

1.29Goals p.g.1.62

1.76Goals conceded p.g.2

12%Clean sheets0%

41%Win rate25%

3.06Avg goals in match3.62

Recent Results

LeonLAST MATCHES

22 AprLeon2–3Club AmericaLiga MX

19 AprLeon3–1FC JuarezLiga MX

11 AprPuebla0–1LeonLiga MX

05 AprLeon2–0AtlasLiga MX

22 MarAtletico San Luis1–2LeonLiga MX

19 MarGuadalajara Chivas5–0LeonLiga MX

7Win41%

1Draw6%

9Lost53%

LAST MATCHESFC Juarez

22 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas4–2FC JuarezLiga MX

19 AprLeon3–1FC JuarezLiga MX

11 AprFC Juarez1–2Club TijuanaLiga MX

08 AprClub Queretaro1–1FC JuarezLiga MX

04 AprPuebla1–1FC JuarezLiga MX

23 MarFC Juarez2–1Tigres UANLLiga MX

4Win25%

4Draw25%

8Lost50%

Lineups

Confirmed

Leon4-3-3Confirmed

26Salvador ReyesDEF

7Iván MorenoDEF

2Valentin GauthierDEF

21Stiven BarreiroDEF

27Diber CambindoFWD

99Emilio RodriguezFWD

11Ismael DíazFWD

23Oscar GarcíaGK

29José RodríguezMID

6Fernando BeltránMID

20Rodrigo EcheverriaMID

Substitutes

33Abraham Villegas MacielDEF

25Paul BellónDEF

4Bryan ColulaDEF

22Nicolás VallejoFWD

19José AlvaradoFWD

18Rogelio Funes MoriFWD

1Jordan GarcíaGK

13Daniel ArcilaMID

28David RamírezMID

16Jordi CortizoMID

FC Juarez4-2-3-1Confirmed

4Alejandro MayorgaDEF

3Moises MosqueraDEF

26José GarcíaDEF

22Javier AquinoDEF

19Óscar EstupiñánFWD

1Sebastián JuradoGK

11José Luis RodríguezMID

18Homer MartinezMID

5Denzell GarciaMID

20Jairo TorresMID

10Rodolfo PizarroMID

Substitutes

33Francisco NevarezDEF

29Ettson AyónFWD

17Luca Martínez DupuyFWD

9Madson de Souza SilvaFWD

27Guillermo RuizGK

237Eder LopezMID

203Luis CarmonaMID

201Jan CarmonaMID

13Raymundo FulgencioMID

8Guilherme CastilhoMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Leon

No reported absences

FC Juarez

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (59.8%)

Both Teams Score1.54 (62.3%)

●Value Bets

Leon Win2.23 (50.7%)

FC Juarez Win2.89 (27.1%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (40.2%)

BTTS No2.31 (37.7%)

●Speculative

Draw3.54 (22.2%)