Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
#3 · Bundesliga
DWWLW
1 - 1
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Referee: W. Altmann
Sturm Graz
#1 · Bundesliga
DWDDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 62.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lask Linz will face Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga at Raiffeisen Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lask Linz has a 49.5% probability of winning this match. Sturm Graz has a 28.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lask Linz have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Sturm Graz are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Lask Linz average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Lask Linz49.5%1.92
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.6%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.04
14.3%
2-1
7.85
12.8%
1-0
9.12
11%
2-0
10.15
10%
2-2
11.18
9.1%
1-2
11.36
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.92 | Draw 3.67 | Away 3.59 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.59 | Under 2.29 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.67 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.43 | Under 1.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.53 | No 2.34 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.86 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Over 2.5 Goals60.6%
Over 3.5 Goals38.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDWDW |
| 1 |  Ried | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 25 | WDDWL |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | WLWDL |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | DWWLD |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 20 | DDLWL |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 | DDLWW |
| 6 |  Wolfsberger AC | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | DDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLask LinzSturm Graz
2.06Goals p.g.1.6
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.33
19%Clean sheets33%
56%Win rate40%
3.56Avg goals in match2.93
Recent Results
Lask LinzLAST MATCHES
19 AprLask Linz1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
10 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–3Lask LinzBundesliga
05 AprLask Linz4–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
22 MarRapid Vienna4–2Lask LinzBundesliga
18 MarRied1–2Lask LinzCup
13 MarLask Linz0–0TSV HartbergBundesliga
9Win56%
4Draw25%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESSturm Graz
19 AprLask Linz1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
05 AprRapid Vienna0–2Sturm GrazBundesliga
27 MarSturm Graz1–1First ViennaFriendlies Clubs
20 MarSturm Graz1–1Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
15 MarAustria Vienna2–5Sturm GrazBundesliga
08 MarSturm Graz2–0SCR AltachBundesliga
6Win40%
6Draw40%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedLask Linz3-4-1-2Confirmed
48Modou Kéba CisséDEF
16Andrés AndradeDEF
43AlemãoDEF
10Saša KalajdžićFWD
8Moses UsorFWD
7Samuel AdeniranFWD
1Lukas JungwirthGK
20Kasper JørgensenMID
30Sascha HorvathMID
6Melayro BogardeMID
4Ismaila Cheick CoulibalyMID
Substitutes
3Xavier MbuyambaDEF
2George BelloDEF
29Florian FleckerFWD
11Maximilian EntrupFWD
27Christoph LangFWD
33Tobias SchutzenauerGK
52Cheikne KebeMID
13Adetunji Rasaq AdeshinaMID
44Lukas KačavendaMID
Sturm Graz3-4-2-1Confirmed
2Jeyland MitchellDEF
30Paul-Friedrich KollerDEF
5Albert VallciDEF
20Seedy JattaFWD
10Otar KiteishviliFWD
77Maurice MaloneFWD
53Daniil KhudyakovGK
4Jon StankovicMID
22Jusuf GazibegovićMID
43Jacob HödlMID
80Ryan FossoMID
Substitutes
35Niklas GeyrhoferDEF
23Arjan MalićDEF
17Emir KarićDEF
11Axel KayomboFWD
9Rory WilsonFWD
40Matteo BignettiGK
25Stefan HierländerMID
39Luca WeinhandlMID
15Gizo MamageishviliMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersLask Linz
No reported absences
Sturm Graz
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.59 (60.6%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (62%)
Value Bets
Lask Linz Win1.92 (49.5%)
Sturm Graz Win3.59 (28.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (39.4%)
BTTS No2.34 (38%)
Speculative
Draw3.67 (21.7%)
