Kitchee vs Warriors

Kitchee
#1 · Premier League
LWLWW
1 - 4
Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong

Warriors
#2 · Premier League
WDWDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 62.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Kitchee will face Warriors in the Premier League at Mong Kok Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kitchee has a 48.1% probability of winning this match. Warriors has a 30.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kitchee have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Warriors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Kitchee average 2.3 goals per game
- Warriors average 2.6 goals per game
- Kitchee have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Kitchee48.1%1.82
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.3%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes62.6%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.77
14.9%
2-1
7.76
13%
1-0
8.36
12%
2-0
9.40
10.7%
2-2
11.38
9%
1-2
11.46
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.82 | Draw 3.59 | Away 3.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.61 | Under 2.17 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.25 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.49 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.56 | No 2.26 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.23 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93%
Over 1.5 Goals78.4%
Over 2.5 Goals61.3%
Over 3.5 Goals36.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | WWDLW | |
| 1 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 50 | LWWWW | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 39 | WDDDW | |
| 2 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 20 | WLDLL | |
| 3 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 | LLDLD | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 34 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 18 | LLDLW | |
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 25 | WDLWD | |
| 5 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 53 | -41 | 4 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonKitcheeWarriors
2.31Goals p.g.2.62
1Goals conceded p.g.1
44%Clean sheets38%
81%Win rate62%
3.31Avg goals in match3.62
Recent Results
KitcheeLAST MATCHES
18 AprKitchee1–4WarriorsPremier League
12 AprKitchee2–0BC RangersPremier League
07 AprKitchee1–2WarriorsLeague Cup
21 MarKitchee2–1EasternPremier League
18 MarKitchee1–0Kowloon CityLeague Cup
14 MarKitchee4–0Kowloon CityPremier League
13Win81%
1Draw6%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESWarriors
18 AprKitchee1–4WarriorsPremier League
12 AprNorth District3–3WarriorsPremier League
07 AprKitchee1–2WarriorsLeague Cup
03 AprEastern District0–0WarriorsPremier League
21 MarWarriors0–0Kowloon CityPremier League
15 MarHong Kong FC0–4WarriorsPremier League
10Win63%
5Draw31%
1Lost6%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Kitchee
No reported absences
Warriors
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.61 (61.3%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (62.6%)
Value Bets
Kitchee Win1.82 (48.1%)
Warriors Win3.64 (30.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (38.7%)
BTTS No2.26 (37.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.59 (21.5%)






