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Katsina United vs Bayelsa United

NPFLRegular Season - 35
Katsina United
#8 · NPFL
WWDWD
3 - 2
Muhammadu Dikko Stadium, Katsina (35,000)
Bayelsa United
#19 · NPFL
LLWLW
54.6%
Home Win
26.9%
Draw
18.5%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Katsina United to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Bayelsa United make Katsina United the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.98
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.87 (implied 53.4%) for Katsina United to Win. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.83. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Katsina United will face Bayelsa United in the NPFL at Muhammadu Dikko Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Katsina United has a 54.6% probability of winning this match. Bayelsa United has a 18.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.9%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Katsina United have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Katsina United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Katsina United sit 8th in the table, 11 places above their opponents
  • Katsina United have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
  • Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Katsina United54.6%1.87
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.567.9%1.37
Both Teams to Score
No61.5%1.50
Based on avg. implied odds from 7 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-0
4.64
21.6%
0-0
5.12
19.6%
1-1
5.42
18.5%
2-0
7.17
14%
0-1
7.83
12.8%
2-1
9.17
11.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.87Draw 2.83Away 4.50
O/U 2.5Over 2.69Under 1.37
O/U 1.5Over 1.56Under 2.19
O/U 3.5Over 5.28Under 1.09
BTTSYes 2.34No 1.50
Double Chance1X 1.1512 1.33X2 1.80

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
83.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
58.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
32.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
17.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Enugu Rangers
351611841251659
WDDLW
2
Rivers United
35161093529658
LWLWL
3
Ikorodu City
351510103832655
LWLWD
4
Abia Warriors
35167123027355
WLWLW
5
Nasarawa United
35159123428653
WLLLW
6
Shooting Stars
35166133737054
WDLWL
8
Katsina United
351310123234-249
WLWDW
18
Kun Khalifat FC
351010153541-640
DWWLD
19
Bayelsa United
351010153238-640
LLLWL
20
Wikki Tourist
35913133239-740
LWDLD

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Katsina UnitedBayelsa United
1.07Goals p.g.0.93
0.93Goals conceded p.g.0.87
53%Clean sheets27%
40%Win rate27%
2Avg goals in match1.8

Recent Results

Katsina UnitedLAST MATCHES
19 AprKatsina United3–2Bayelsa UnitedNPFL
05 AprKatsina United1–0Niger TornadoesNPFL
29 MarBarau FC0–0Katsina UnitedNPFL
22 MarKatsina United1–0Shooting StarsNPFL
15 MarEl Kanemi Warriors1–1Katsina UnitedNPFL
08 MarKatsina United1–2Kwara UnitedNPFL
6Win40%
5Draw33%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESBayelsa United
19 AprKatsina United3–2Bayelsa UnitedNPFL
06 AprAbia Warriors1–0Bayelsa UnitedNPFL
29 MarBayelsa United4–1Kano PillarsNPFL
22 MarPlateau United1–0Bayelsa UnitedNPFL
15 MarBayelsa United2–1Warri WolvesNPFL
08 MarKun Khalifat FC1–0Bayelsa UnitedNPFL
4Win27%
5Draw33%
6Lost40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Katsina United

No reported absences

Bayelsa United

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.37 (67.9%)
BTTS No1.50 (61.5%)
●Value Bets
Katsina United Win1.87 (54.6%)
Draw2.83 (26.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.69 (32.1%)
Both Teams Score2.34 (38.5%)
●Speculative
Bayelsa United Win4.50 (18.5%)
Katsina United vs Bayelsa United Predictions, Stats, H2H - 19 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro